84th Oscar Nomination Count

I’ll be posting additional analysis later today and throughout the rest of the week, but I thought that a simple chart might give a quick representation of which films are in the lead, as well as provide a concise way to show which films I overestimated or underestimated.

For the moment, it looks like I underestimated Moneyball, Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close and The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (I have a feeling I’m going to get some slack for that last one.) The films that I overestimated were The Help (mostly in technical categories), J. Edgar and Super 8.

I’m particularly disappointed that there are 4 categories where my previously predicted winners didn’t even make the nomination list: Song, Sound Editing, Documentary Feature, and Live Action Short. The song category just seems mean to me, and Project Nim picked up so many awards this year that I’m shocked it didn’t make it.

Film	Actual Nominations	My Last Predictions
Hugo	11	11
The Artist	10	10
War Horse	6	7
Moneyball	6	4
The Descendants	5	5
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo	5	3
The Help	4	7
Midnight In Paris	4	3
The Tree Of Life, Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2	3	4
Albert Nobbs,Transformers: Dark Of The Moon	3	3
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy	3	2
The Iron Lady, My Week With Marilyn	2	2
Bridesmaids, A Separation	2	1
Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close	2	0
Drive, Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes, The Muppets, Pina	1	2
Beginners, Jane Eyre, W.E., Rango, The Adventures Of Tintin: Secret Of The Unicorn, Kung Fu Panda 2, Puss In Boots, Chico & Rita, Hell And Back Again, In Darkness, Monsieur Lazhar, Footnote, The Fantastic Flying Books Of Mr. Morris Lessmore, La Luna, Wild Life, The Tsunami And The Cherry Blossom, Incident In New Baghdad, The Barber Of Birmingham: Foot Soldier Of The Civil Rights Movement, Tuba Atlantic, Raju	1	1
A Better Life, The Ides Of March, Warrior, A Cat In Paris, Anonymous, Real Steel, Margin Call, Bullhead, Rio, If A Tree Falls: A Story Of The Earth Liberation Front, Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory, Undefeated, God Is The Bigger Elvis, Saving Face, Dimanche/Sunday, A Morning Stroll, Pentecost, The Shore, Time Freak	1	0

And those that I got wrong:

J. Edgar, Super 8	0	2
Shame, We Need To Talk About Kevin, 50/50, Win Win, Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life, Captain America: The First Avenger, Pirates Of The Caribbean: On Stranger Tides, Project Nim, Buck, Bill Cunningham New York, Specky Four-Eyes, Paths Of Hate, In Tahrir Square: 18 Days Of Egypt’s Revolution, Witness, The Road Home, Sailcloth, The Roar Of The Sea	0	1

I’ll be posting more detailed statistics on each individual race on my Track Record Page, so stay tuned.
See predictions for all categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
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