Monday, January 9, 2012

84th Oscar Makeup Updates (1/9/12)

Today the Academy announced the seven films that made the short list for Best Makeup. I correctly predicted 5 of them to make the short list (71%), with 6 of them (86%) showing up in my previous top 13. You can see how I am doing in other races on my Track Record Page.

J. Edgar missed the cut, but Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life surprised here. This French film premiered at Cannes in 2010 (two years ago), and was nominated for eight Cesar Awards last year, winning two of them. Unfortunately, the Cesars don’t give awards for best makeup, which may help to explain why few predictors saw this coming. The film may do well, as it includes both biopic and surreal makeup effects that could pick up votes from different contingents within the branch.

Here are today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Makeup race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry. I have kept Harry Potter in the nomination list for now, although I am not entirely convinced that it can beat out Hugo and The Artist.

1. The Iron Lady (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 3)
2. Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life (Gainsbourg: Vie Heroique) (New)
3. Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 1)

4. Hugo (previous rank 5)
5. The Artist (previous rank 6)
6. Albert Nobbs (previous rank 4)
7. Anonymous (previous rank 13)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Makeup predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into makeup, you might also like Art Decoration and Costume Design.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  


  1. It seems more and more likely that Harry Potter is not going to win any Academy Awards. Shame, it deserves. And I also agree with you about "The Iron Lady" winning best makeup. I haven't seen the film yet, but yesterday I read a review from a brazilian critic and he says the film is the front-runner for makeup and best actress.

    I have been visited your blog for a while and let me congratulate you for the amazing work you've done here.

  2. I won't be surprised if "The Iron Lady" wins best makeup, I mean the Academy LOVES Meryl after all. But I'd love to see The Artist win this too, oh and best costume design as well.

  3. @Clovis, Thank you for reading and for your kind words. It looks like The Iron Lady will actually be opening in my area this weekend, and I can't wait to see it. It really is a shame about Harry Potter, but at this point I'm thinking it will have to settle for a few technical nominations. In the makeup category, I think Harry Potter has a decent chance since the Academy usually gives at least one nomination for something that is sci-fi/fantasy, but it could be left out of even this given some of the elements that I'm told are in Gainsbourg.

    @Ruth, The Iron Lady is looking more and more likely here, and The Artist probably has a good shot too given how much attention that film is getting. For the nominations, it really is going to come down to the technical elements that are hard for us to judge, so we'll have to see.