Monday, January 16, 2012

84th Oscar Supporting Actress Updates (1/16/12)

Here are today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Supporting Actress race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry. In December, it looked as if Jessica Chastain was picking up momentum for her body of work this year, so I briefly flirted with the idea that the big awards might follow suit. Yesterday’s Golden Globe win solidifies Octavia Spencer in the top position, and thus I am returning her to the front-runner position, where she had been since October (prior to that I had mistakenly placed Viola Davis in the lead, with Spencer second). The moral of the story is that I need to stick with my instincts and not be easily swayed by mid-December critics lists from across the country.

I have also added two supporting performances from Alexandra Roach and Olivia Colman in The Iron Lady to my long list of contenders, and I have dropped Nia Long’s outstanding performance in Mooz-lum, because the film apparently isn’t eligible for any awards this year.

1. Octavia Spencer for The Help (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 2)
2. Jessica Chastain for The Help (previous rank 1)
3. Shailene Woodley for The Descendants (previous rank 3)
4. Janet McTeer for Albert Nobbs (previous rank 4)
5. Berenice Bejo for The Artist (previous rank 5)

6. Vanessa Redgrave for Coriolanus (previous rank 6)
7. Carey Mulligan for Shame (previous rank 7)
8. Melissa McCarthy for Bridesmaids (previous rank 8)
9. Kate Winslet for Carnage (previous rank 9)
10. Judi Dench for J. Edgar (previous rank 10)
11. Sandra Bullock for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (previous rank 11)
12. Jessica Chastain for Take Shelter (previous rank 12)
13. Jessica Chastain for The Tree Of Life (previous rank 13)
14. Jodie Foster for Carnage (previous rank 14)
15. Marion Cotillard for Midnight In Paris (previous rank 15)
16. Harmony Santana for Gun Hill Road (previous rank 16)
17. Judy Greer for The Descendants (previous rank 17)
18. Anjelica Huston for 50/50 (previous rank 18)
19. Kim Wayans for Pariah (previous rank 19)
20. Jeannie Berlin for Margaret (previous rank 20)
21. Alexandra Roach in The Iron Lady (New)
22. Emily Watson for War Horse (previous rank 22)
23. Evan Rachel Wood for The Ides Of March (previous rank 23)
24. Elle Fanning for Super 8 (previous rank 24)
25. Amy Ryan for Win Win (previous rank 25)

26. Nicole Beharie for Shame (previous rank 26)
27. Vanessa Redgrave for Anonymous (previous rank 27)
28. Naomi Watts for J. Edgar (previous rank 28)
29. Charlotte Rampling for Melancholia (previous rank 29)
30. Marisa Paredes for La Piel Que Habito (The Skin I Live In) (previous rank 30)
31. Anna Kendrick for 50/50 (previous rank 31)
32. Carey Mulligan for Drive (previous rank 32)
33. Zoe Caldwell for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (previous rank 33)
34. Andrea Riseborough for W.E. (previous rank 34)
35. Mia Wasikowska for Albert Nobbs (previous rank 35)
36. Melanie Laurent for Beginners (previous rank 36)
37. Bryce Dallas Howard for The Help (previous rank 37)
38. Sarah Paulson for Martha Marcy May Marlene (previous rank 38)
39. Judi Dench for Jane Eyre (previous rank 39)
40. J. Smith-Cameron for Margaret (previous rank 40)
41. Judi Dench for My Week With Marilyn (previous rank 41)
42. Olivia Colman in The Iron Lady (New)
43. Scarlett Johansson for We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 42)
44. Marisa Tomei for The Ides Of March (previous rank 43)
45. Viola Davis for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (previous rank 44)
46. Chloe Moretz for Hugo (previous rank 45)
47. Pernell Walker for Pariah (previous rank 46)
48. Lisa Feret for Mozart’s Sister (previous rank 47)
49. Kathy Burke for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 48)
50. Cate Blanchett for Hanna (previous rank 50)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Supporting Actress predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Lead Actor, Lead Actress and Supporting Actor predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

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