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Sunday, February 26, 2012

OSCAR DAY!

It’s officially Oscar Day, and I’ll be using this page to update the winners as the ceremony progresses. And because I specialize in early predictions, I have also included my year in advance predictions of what will win for NEXT YEAR.

You can also follow me on twitter @NeverTooEarlyMP, where I will try to give some additional impressions throughout the night.

And just for fun, check out what I’ll be treated to for my Oscar Night Dinner Menu. Of course, we decided to include some LAMB in honor of my favorite movie blogging association, where you can find additional articles on all of the categories and nominees in their series, The LAMB Devours The Oscars, as well as our collective thoughts on who should have won in the LIONS For LAMBS Awards, and links to our LAMB Scores for every movie in 2011. And if you forgot to pick up music for your Oscar party, you can listen to all of the Oscar eligible songs submitted from this year’s films, including those that didn’t make the top five two.


My Track Record:  13/24. I'll do more statistics and analysis soon, as well as continue predictions for next year. For now, it looks like in my first year of making predictions I did better at picking the nominees (69.75%) than the winners (54.17%). Still, I won't give up, and look forward to sharing my thoughts with you as we move into next year. The Oscars are over. Long Live The Oscars!


Results:

Best Picture
1. The Artist (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Hugo
3. The Descendants
4. The Help
5. Moneyball
6. Midnight In Paris
7. War Horse
8. The Tree Of Life
9. Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close

My year in advance prediction for next year is:  Lincoln .

Best Director
1. Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Martin Scorsese for Hugo
3. Alexander Payne for The Descendants
4. Woody Allen for Midnight In Paris
5. Terrence Malick for The Tree Of Life

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Steven Spielberg for Lincoln.

Lead Actress
1. Viola Davis in The Help (Predicted Winner)
2. Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady--ACTUAL WINNER
3. Michelle Williams in My Week With Marilyn
4. Glenn Close in Albert Nobbs
5. Rooney Mara for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Helen Hunt for The Surrogate.

Lead Actor
1. George Clooney for The Descendants (Predicted Winner)
2. Jean Dujardin for The Artist--ACTUAL WINNER
3. Brad Pitt for Moneyball
4. Gary Oldman for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
5. Demian Bichir for A Better Life

My year in advance prediction for next year is: John Hawkes for The Surrogate.

Supporting Actress
1. Octavia Spencer for The Help (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Jessica Chastain for The Help
3. Janet McTeer for Albert Nobbs
4. Berenice Bejo for The Artist
5. Melissa McCarthy for Bridesmaids

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Amy Adams for The Master.

Supporting Actor
1. Christopher Plummer in Beginners (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Kenneth Branagh in My Week With Marilyn
3. Nick Nolte for Warrior
4. Max von Sydow for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close
5. Jonah Hill for Moneyball

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Leonardo DiCaprio for Django Unchained.

Original Screenplay
1. Woody Allen for Midnight In Paris (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist
3. Asghar Farhadi for A Separation
4. J.C. Chandor for Margin Call
5. Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo for Bridesmaids


My year in advance prediction for next is: Quentin Tarantino for Django Unchained.

Adapted Screenplay
1. Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash for The Descendants (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian for Moneyball
3. John Logan for Hugo
4. George Clooney and Grant Heslov for The Ides Of March
5. Bright O’Connor and Peter Straughaun for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy


My year in advance prediction for next year is: David Magee for Life Of Pi (Update coming soon)

Animated Feature
1. Gore Verbinski for Rango (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Javier Mariscal and Fernando Trueba for Chico & Rita
4. Jean-Loup Felicioli and Alain Gagnol for A Cat In Paris (Une Vie De Chat)
4. Jennifer Yuh Nelson for Kung Fu Panda 2
5. Chris Miller for Puss In Boots

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Arrietty or Brave (Update coming soon)

Documentary Feature
1. Wim Wenders and Gian-Piero Ringel for Pina (Predicted Winner)
2. Joe Berlinger and Bruce Sinofsky for Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
3. Danfung Dennis and Mike Lerner for Hell And Back Again
4. Daniel Lindsay, T.J. Martin and Rich Middlemas for Undefeated--ACTUAL WINNER
5. Marshall Curry and Sam Cullman for If A Tree Falls: A Story Of The Earth Liberation Front

My year in advance prediction for next year is: The Island President.

Foreign Language
1. Asghar Farhadi for A Separation (Jodaeiye Nader Az Simin) (Iran) (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Agnieszka Holland for In Darkness (W. Ciemnoscki) (Poland)
3. Philippe Falardeau for Monsieur Lazhar (Canada)
4. Joseph Cedar for Footnote (Hearat Shulayim) (Israel)
5. Michael R. Roskam for Bullhead (Rundskop) (Belgium)

My year in advance prediction for next year is Portugal’s Tabu (Update coming soon)

Art Direction
1. Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo for Hugo (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Laurence Bennett and Robert Gould for The Artist
3. Stuart Craig and Stephanie McMillan for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2
4. Rick Carter and Lee Sandales for War Horse
5. Anne Siebel and Helene Dubreuil for Midnight In Paris

My year in advance prediction for next year is: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.

Costume Design
1. Sandy Powell for Hugo (Predicted Winner)
2. Michael O’Connor for Jane Eyre
3. Mark Bridges for The Artist--ACTUAL WINNER
4. Arianna Phillips for W.E.
5. Lisy Christi for Anonymous

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Cloud Atlas.

Makeup
1. Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland for The Iron Lady (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight and Lisa Tomblin for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2
3. Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnston and Matthew W. Mungle for Albert Nobbs

My year in advance prediction for next year is: The Hobbit.

Cinematography
1. Emmanuel Lubezki for The Tree Of Life (Predicted Winner)
4. Guillaume Schiffman for The Artist
3. Robert Richardson for Hugo--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Janusz Kaminski for War Horse
5. Jeff Cronenweth for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Life Of Pi.

Film Editing
1. Thelma Schoonmaker for Hugo (Predicted Winner)
2. Anne-Sophie Bion for The Artist
3. Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo--ACTUAL WINNER
4. Christopher Tellefsen for Moneyball
5. Kevin Trent for The Descendants

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Cloud Atlas.

Visual Effects
1. Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White and Daniel Barrett for Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes (Predicted Winner)
2. Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler and John Richardson for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2
3. Rob Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossman and Alex Henning for Hugo--ACTUAL WINNER
4. Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Matthew Butler and John Frazier for Transformers: Dark Of The Moon
5. Eric Nash, John Rosengrant, Dan Taylor and Swen Gillberg for Real Steel

My year in advance prediction for next year is: The Hobbit.

Original Song
1. Bret McKenzie for “Man Or Muppet” from The Muppets (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Sergio Mendes, Carlinhos Brown and Siedah Garrett for “Real In Rio” from Rio

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Brave or Les Miserables (Update coming soon)

Original Score
1. Ludovic Bource for The Artist (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. John Williams for War Horse
3. Howard Shore for Hugo
4. Alberto Iglesias for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
5. John Williams for The Adventures Of Tintin: The Secret Of The Unicorn

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Ennio Morricone for Leningrad (Update coming soon)

Sound Editing
1 Richard Hymns and Gary Rydstrom for War Horse (Predicted Winner)
2. Ethan Van der Ryn and Erik Aadahi for Transformers: Dark Of The Moon
3. Lon Bender and Victor Ray Ennis for Drive
4. Phillip Stockton and Eugene Gearty for Hugo--ACTUAL WINNER
5. Ren Klyce for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

My year in advance prediction for next year is: The Dark Knight Rises.

Sound Mixing
1. Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson and Stuart Wilson for War Horse (Predicted Winner)
2. Tom Fleischman and John Midgley for Hugo--ACTUAL WINNER
3. Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jaffrey J. Haboush and Peter J. Devlin for Transformers: Dark Of The Moon
4. Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, David Giammarco and Ed Movick for Moneyball
5. David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Bo Persson for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Prometheus.

Animated Short
1. William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg for The Fantastic Flying Books Of Mr. Morris Lessmore (Predicted Winner)--ACTUAL WINNER
2. Enrico Casarosa for La Luna
3. Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby for Wild Life
4. Patrick Doyon for Dimanche (Sunday)
5. Grant Orchard and Sue Goffe for A Morning Stroll

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Robots Of Brixton (Update coming soon)

Documentary Short
1. Lucy Walker and Kira Carstensen for The Tsunami And The Cherry Blossom (Predicted Winner)
2. Daniel Junge and Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy for Saving Face--ACTUAL WINNER
3. James Spione for Incident In New Baghdad
4. Gail Dolgin and Robin Fryday for The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier Of The Civil Rights Movement
5. Rebecca Cammisa and Julie Anderson for God Is The Bigger Elvis

My year in advance prediction for next year is: The Debutante Hunters (Updated coming soon)

Live Action Short
1. Hallvar Witzo for Tuba Atlantic (Predicted Winner)
2. Max Zahle and Stefan Gieren for Raju
3. Terry George and Oorlagh George for The Shore--ACTUAL WINNER
4. Andrew Bowler and Gigi Causey for Time Freak
5. Peter McDonald and Eimear O’Kane for Pentecost

My year in advance prediction for next year is: Fishing Without Nets (Update coming soon)

18 comments:

  1. Happy Oscar Day to Us All!
    Before we start, here are two links (don't worry, the last two I'll put today) that i want to share with you:
    1. I also reviewed "Hugo":
    http://www.tapuz.co.il/blog/net/ViewEntry.aspx?EntryId=2252805
    2. I'm doing a Live-Blog of the ceremony (but here, I have to be awake in 3:00 in the morning for that...):
    http://www.tapuz.co.il/blog/net/ViewEntry.aspx?EntryId=2271081
    Enjoy!

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    Replies
    1. Great review of Hugo that you did there!

      I'll be updating this post, as well as doing stuff on twitter tonight. I'll try to check back on your live blog too if I get a chance between awards!

      Happy Oscar Day (or NIGHT or MORNING) to you my friend!

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  2. I love that you're already predicting for next year. Very cool! Haven't read anything like that on anyone else's blog this year yet. I share many of your predictions, although I'm rooting for Dujardin over Clooney for Best Actor. Nice post!

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    Replies
    1. Thanks Kristin! The early predictions are kind of my trademark. They're not always correct, but I sure do enjoy making them!

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  3. Looking forward to seeing how many you get right! Also love the next year's predictions thrown in!

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  4. I'm so happy Jean Dujardin and Meryl Streep won !! and congratz for getting almost all prediction right mate!

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    Replies
    1. I only got a little over half right, but I'm actually really happy for Dujardin and thrilled that I got to see a Meryl win in my lifetime!

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  5. I went 16/24!!
    I look forward to following your picks again for next year's race!

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  6. Well at least you got over 50%, and most of the major ones right.

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    Replies
    1. Indeed, Plus we both got A Separation.

      I'm actually happy about some of the winners that I didn't predict, as it shows that the Acdemy may be changing faster than I previously thought. Dujardin and Dragon Tattoo's film editing award, for example, are really deserved. I was just not sure whether the older academy members would go for them.

      And while I would have loved to see Viola win, there was a lot of excited screaming in my house to get to see a Meryl win in my adult lifetime, as I am a true fanboy of hers!

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  7. Well I got 11 right out of the 15 I predicted, not bad eh? Looks like we both got it right about The Artist, and I'm happy w/ their win. Btw, did you enjoy the ceremony?

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    1. Good job Ruth!

      On the whole, I did enjoy the show, but there weren't many scripted moments that I found to be that good. I liked Crystal's opening montage, as well as the Cirque Du Soleil act and Chris Rock, and I thought it was good casting to have the Bridesmaids cast present the shorts, because even if their jokes weren't that funny, they at least got the masses to sit through these awards rather than use the time to go refill their drinks.

      I personally found that Crystal's song number and his "What Are They Thinking" felt a little off too me. I realize that he had to do them as part of his brand, but it had this wierd feeling like returning to a nostalgic memory and finding that it wasn't quite as exciting as you used to remember.

      But overall, you can bet I'll still be watching next year!

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  8. You did pretty solid NTEMP.

    I dont think anyone saw Meryl Streep stealing this one! And Clooney Dujardin was a toss up, I'd love to see if it was actually close!

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    Replies
    1. Thanks Fogs! I always wish that they would release the scores, but if they did then I'd probably complain that they'd taken all the mystery out of it!

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  9. I did rather well.

    Scored a 19/24 ... won some money. Glad you're continuing on with this blog. Invaluable source.

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    Replies
    1. Thanks Sam! I'm hoping to get even better over time, so keep placing those bets!

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