Here are today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Supporting Actor race (2012-2013 awards season), with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry. Overall it feels a bit too commercial, but I’m sure that will change as more of the independent films begin to make their mark.
I feel like a fanboy for predicting Leonardo DiCaprio again after what happened with J. Edgar. He hasn’t had much luck lately in the lead category, but I am wonder if a supporting turn, and a villain at that, might be just what he needs to break into the winners club. I suspect that part of his problem is that he refuses to campaign (or more cynically, his campaign strategy is to pretend that he’s refusing to campaign). That doesn’t get you very far in the hotly contested lead races, but it just might work in supporting.
I suspect that both Seven Psychopaths and Kathryn Bigelow’s Untitled International Thriller (aka Kill Bin Laden) have the possibility of surprising us, but because they are original stories and neither plot details nor character traits have been revealed yet, it’s hard to know which, if any, members of their ensemble casts might surprise. It is worth mentioning that Joel Edgerton has roles in three fairly big releases this year, including Kill Bin Laden, The Great Gatsby and The Odd Life Of Timothy Green, so keep an eye out for him.
Moonrise Kingdom also looks intriguing to me, and has an excellent cast. They’ve missed out on my list mostly due to the May release date, and not knowing which actor to spotlight, but I wouldn’t be surprised if one of them shows up the next time I look at these predictions.
1. Leonardo DiCaprio in Django Unchained (Predicted Winner) (New)
2. Chiwetel Ejiofor in Savannah (previous rank 1)
3. Joaquin Phoenix in The Master (New)
4. Russell Crowe in Les Miserables (New)
5. William H. Macy in The Surrogate (New)
6. David Strathairn in Lincoln (New)
7. Samuel L. Jackson in Django Unchained (New)
8. Tommy Lee Jones in Lincoln (previous rank 49)
9. Joel Edgerton in The Great Gatsby (previous rank 23)
10. Mark Strong in Untitled International Thriller (Kill Bin Laden) (New)
11. Michael Fassbender in Twelve Years A Slave (New)
12. Don Cheadle in Flight (New)
13. Garrett Hedlund in On The Road (previously listed in 84th Oscar race, rank 16)
14. Dwight Henry in Beasts Of The Southern Wild (previously listed in lead, rank 30)
15. Josh Brolin in Men In Black 3 (New)
16. George Clooney in Gravity (previously listed in lead, rank 40)
17. Paul Giamatti in Cosmopolis (previous rank 41)
18. Woody Harrelson in Seven Psychopaths (New)
19. John Cusack in The Paperboy (New)
20. Javier Bardem in Untitled Terrence Malick Project (The Burial) (previous rank 21)
21. Tobey Maguire in The Great Gatsby (previous rank 13)
22. Tom Hardy in The Dark Knight Rises New)
23. Robert De Niro in Being Flynn (previous rank 25)
24. Tom Cruise in Rock Of Ages (previous rank 35)
25. Danny Glover in Macbett: The Caribbean Macbeth (previous rank 6)
26. Steve Carell in Great Hope Springs (New)
27. Alexander Skarsgard in What Maisie Knew (New)
28. Joel Edgerton in Kill Bin Laden (New)
29. Jeremy Renner in Lowlife (New)
30. Alan Arkin in Argo (New)
31. Bill Nighy in Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (previously listed in 84th Oscar race, rank 49)
32. Tom Courtenay in Quartet previous rank 15)
33. Greg Wise in Effie (New)
34. Jude Law in Anna Karenina (previously listed in lead, rank 49)
35. Ian McKellen in The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (New)
36. Guy Pearce in Wettest County (New)
37. John Travolta in Gotti: In The Shadow Of My Father (previously listed in 86th Oscar lead race, rank 12)
38. Christoph Waltz in Django Unchained (New)
39. Ralph Fiennes in Great Expectations (New)
40. Philip Seymour Hoffman in A Late Quartet (New)
41. Joaquin Phoenix in Lowlife (New)
42. Joseph Gordon-Levitt in Lincoln (previous rank 26)
43. Alec Baldwin in Rock Of Ages (New)
44. Eddie Redmayne in Les Miserables (New)
45. James Franco in Lovelace (previous rank 14)
46. Demian Bichir in Savages (New)
47. Tom Wilkinson in Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (previously listed in 84th Oscar race, rank 50)
48. Al Pacino in Gotti: In The Shadow Of My Father (New)
49. Joseph Gordon-Levitt in The Dark Knight Rises (previous rank 10)
50. Bruce Willis in Lay The Favorite (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Supporting Actor predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Lead Actor, Lead Actress and Supporting Actress predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th