Saturday, July 2, 2011

84th Oscar Supporting Actor Updates (2011-2012 Awards Season) (7/2/11)

Here are today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Supporting Actor race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Viggo Mortensen in A Dangerous Method (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Christopher Plummer in Beginners (previous rank 3)
3. Armie Hammer in J. Edgar (previous rank 2)
4. Kenneth Branagh in My Week With Marilyn (previous rank 7)
5. Brad Pitt in The Tree Of Life (previously listed as lead actor, rank 6)

6. Philip Seymour Hoffman in The Ides Of March (previous rank 8)
7. Christoph Waltz in Carnage (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 8)
8. Jim Broadbent in The Iron Lady (previous rank 11)
9. Thomas Horn in Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 4)
10. Laurence Fishburne in Contagion (previous rank 4)
11. Ben Kingsley in Hugo Cabret (previous rank 9)
12. John Hawkes in Martha Marcy May Marlene (previous rank 28)
13. Nicholas Bro in War Horse (previous rank 14)
14. John C. Reilly in We Need To Talk About Kevin (previous rank 10)
15. Jude Law in Contagion (previous rank 13)
16. Garrett Hedlund in On The Road (previous rank 14)
17. Albert Brooks in Drive (New)
18. Tom Hanks in Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 16)
19. Jonah Hill in Moneyball (previous rank 42)
20. Giovanni Ribisi in The Rum Diary (previous rank 24)
21. Asa Butterfield in Hugo Cabret (previous rank 22)
22. Gael Garcia Bernal in Tambien La Lluvia (Even The Rain) (previous rank 12)
23. Philip Seymour Hoffman in Moneyball (previous rank 16)
24. Terrence Howard in Red Tails (previous rank 6)
25. Paul Giamatti in The Ides Of March (previous rank 18)
26. Tom Hardy in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 30)
27. Jeremy Irvine in War Horse (previously listed as lead actor, rank 32)
28. Hunter McCracken in The Tree Of Life (New)
29. Christoph Waltz in Water For Elephants (previous rank 25)
30. Blaire Underwood in I Will Follow (previous rank 17)
31. Corey Stoll in Midnight In Paris (New)
32. Danny Glover in Mooz-lum (previous rank 20)
33. Christopher Plummer in The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 36)
34. Dev Patel in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (previous rank 31)
35. Patton Oswalt in Young Adult (New)
36. George Clooney in The Ides Of March (previous rank 23)
37. Ben Youcef in From The Rough (previous rank 21)
38. Juan Carlos Aduviri in Tambien La Lluvia (Even The Rain) (previous rank 26)
39. Colin Firth in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (New)
40. Joel Edgerton in Warrior (New)
41. Colin Farrell in At Swim-Two Birds (previous rank 41)
42. Ezra Miller in We Need To Talk About Kevin previous rank 39)
43. Michael Clarke Duncan in From The Rough (previous rank 33)
44. John Goodman in The Artist (New)
45. Tahar Rahim in Black Gold (New)
46. Clayne Crawford in The Perfect Host (New)
47. Terrence Howard in Winnie (previous rank 40)
48. Kal Penn in Bhopal: A Prayer For Rain (previous rank 29)
49. Bill Nighy in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (previous rank 47)
50. Tom Wilkinson in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (previous rank 49)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Supporting Actor predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Lead Actor, Lead Actress and Supporting Actress predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  


  1. Viggo Mortenson and Brad Pitt would be considered leads if they would be considered at all. I saw Beginners and I saw Drive. Of those two I would have to saw Albert Brooks could win the award. I think he is the frontrunner until I see Kenneth Branagh.

  2. At 83 years old, Christopher Plummer is at the top of his game. Coming off his only Oscar nomination (for 2009’s The Last Station), Plummer does absolute wonders in Beginners. As Hal, he gives many fascinating traits to a man who so desperately loves to live, but understands that his time is limited. Hal is loving, restrained, ill, confused, and, most importantly, tender to the needs of other.

    Whether he’s Captain Von Trapp, or Mike Wallace, or Aristotle, or Christopher Newport, or Leo Tolstoy, Christopher Plummer has long been able to hit his mark and shake things up. I’ve seen him as good, but never better, than he is in Beginners. Give the man an Oscar.

  3. Thanks for these great tips on Brooks and Plummer.

    I've read some good reviews on Brooks, which is why I put him so high on the list (#17). But none of the reviews were specifically talking about the Oscar race, so it's good to hear from someone who has actually seen Drive and thinks he has the momentum to carry through to February.

    I'm seeing Beginners later today and can't wait to see how Plummer does. The part certainly seems baity and I agree completely that he is overdue.

    Thanks to both of you for checking out my blog.

  4. I enjoy your blog. I don't think an Oscar prediction can come from an actors website as it does above with Christopher Plummer. I have not seen Drive, but this review makes me want to see it and this reviewer does think Brooks should be in the top five!

  5. I'm glad you're enjoying my blog! I know that I enjoy writing it!

    I completely agree that actor and fan sites have to be taken with a grain of salt. And at the same time know that all of us are fans of some actors, films, genres, etc., and that always influences our predictions. (The same can be said of the academy voters themselves, of course!) I try to read as many sites and sources as possible to help weed out the obvious fan-focused predictions. And is one of my favorites too.

    Thanks again for reading my blog, and keep coming back!

  6. Originally posted by Anonymous on July 8, 2011 at 8:27 am:

    You have Colin Farrell for the 84th Oscars (Alternate #41) for At Swim-Two-Birds. That film has not been made.

  7. Originally posted by NeverTooEarlyMP on July 8, 2011 at 10:19 am:

    Thanks for the head's up! At one point it was scheduled for this year, but I just checked IMDB and not only is "At Swim-Two Birds" now scheduled for 2013, but Colin's name has been removed.... Just one of the many joys of early predicting, I guess!

    Thanks for checking out my blog.