EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in June 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
The song category is always a particularly difficult one to predict, but it’s “never too early” to try anyway! The award for best song goes to the writer of the song, but where I haven’t been able to find that information I have used the performer or score composer from the movie to help make my predictions. Here are today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Original Song race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Mary J. Blige for “The Living Proof” from The Help (Predicted Winner) (New)
2. Queen Latifah and Dolly Parton for Joyful Noise (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 1)
3. The Muppets (previous rank 2)
4. Zooey Deschanel for “So Long” from Winnie The Pooh (previous rank 3)
5. Jordin Sparks for “The World I Knew” from African Cats (previous rank 5)
Alternates:
6. John Williams for The Adventures Of Tintin: Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 4)
7. J. Ralph for “Hell And Back” from Hell And Back Again (New)
8. Nicole Beharie for My Last Day Without You (New)
9. Jonathan Goldsmith for Take This Waltz (previous rank 1)
10. David Byrne and Will Oldham for This Must Be The Place (New)
11. John Powell for Happy Feet 2 (previous rank 7)
12. John Williams for War Horse (previous rank 9)
13. Michael Giacchino for Cars 2 (previous rank 10)
14. John Powell for Rio (previous rank 6)
15. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 11)
16. Hans Zimmer and John Powell for Kung Fu Panda: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 13)
17. Bebo Valdes for Chico And Rita (previous rank 12)
18. Ludovic Bource for The Artist (New)
19. Ludacris for Fast Five (New)
20. Alexandre Desplat for The Tree Of Life (previous rank 8)
21. Abel Korzeniowski for W.E. (previous rank 15)
22. Hans Zimmer for Rango (previous rank 16)
23. Alvin And The Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked (previous rank 14)
24. Paul Cantelon for The Music Never Stopped (previous rank 17)
25. James Newton Howard for Water For Elephants (previous rank 22)
26. Thom for Pina (previous rank 18)
27. Pia Briccocola for The Puppet Queen: The Creative Path (previous rank 19)
28. Milo Coello for Journey To Mt. Fuji (previous rank 21)
29. Rachel Portman for Snow Flower And The Secret Fan (New)
30. Steve Jablonsky for Transformers 3: Dark Side Of The Moon (previous rank 28)
31. Robert Folk for Vivaldi (previous rank 23)
32. Jonny Greenwood for We Need To Talk About Kevin (previous rank 24)
33. We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 25)
34. Ohad Benchetrit for Daydream Nation (previous rank 26)
35. Carter Burwell for The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 (previous rank 27)
36. The Chemical Brothers (Tom Rowlands and Ed Simons) for Hanna (previous rank 30)
37. Elvis Costello for “Sparkling Day” from One Day (previous rank 31)
38. Alexandre Desplat for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 34)
39. Gustavo Santaoalla for On The Road (previous rank 32)
40. Alan Silvestri for Captain America: The First Avenger (previous rank 33)
41. Dario Marianelli for Jane Eyre (previous rank 35)
42. Alberto Iglesias for The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 36)
43. Chris Bacon for Source Code (previous rank 37)
44. Cliff Martinez for Contagion (previous rank 38)
45. Elton John and Stephani Germonatta for “Hello, Hello” from Gnomeo And Juliet (New)
46. Howard Shore for Hugo Cabret (previous rank 42)
47. Patrick McCormack for “Ovenbird” from Newlyweds (New)
48. Mumford And Sons for Enemy from Wuthering Heights (New)
49. Howard Shore for A Dangerous Method (previous rank 41)
50. Gary Gregson Williams for Cowboys & Aliens (previous rank 39)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
This list is ambitious - particularly in a category that is super crazy and unpredictable. Based off the list you provided - I would predict the top 5 to be.
ReplyDeleteThe Artist
Cars 2
Happy Feed 2
On The Road
War Horse
Thanks RC! You're top 5 looks pretty good too.
ReplyDeleteI see that we both have two kid/family type movies (Muppets/Winnie The Pooh and Cars/Happy Feet), which feels about right for this category. I get a bit of an "Enchanted" feel from The Muppets, but that may just be because of Amy Adams. I've heard that there is a campaign to get the muppets to host the Oscars, which sounds like a terrible idea to me, but a song nod would feel ok... It would give them a chance to make an appearance, but wouldn't get tedious the way that making them the hosts would.
I've read conflicting reports about whether On The Road will be ready in time, but I'm hopeful that it will be and am looking forward to the film. And the Tony's love for War Horse (the play) could easily carry over to the movie.
All of the Cannes reviews for The Artist talk about how it is "silent", but there definitely is a score for this movie, which I suspect is a big part of why it works. I haven't been able to figure out if this also includes any songs (music plus lyrics). Were you one of the lucky folks who has gotten to see it already?
P.S. I love your strangecultureblog.com!
Rio has the most wonderful soundtrack of 2011...all songs are rich and fantastic !!!
ReplyDeleteHope Rio is nominated....
I've also heard good things about the Rio soundtrack. (I usually save the animated films for TV or DVD, so I haven't seen it yet, unfortunately). Is there one or two songs that particularly stick out for you from the film? Which ones do you think have the best chance at a nomination?
ReplyDeleteTaio Cruz's "Telling The World" certainly deserves to win!
ReplyDeleteI think RIO should get the nomination for the BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM as well as the ORIGINAL SONG and ORIGINAL MUSIC SCORE. The film is just breathtaking, heartwarming and original.
ReplyDeleteAs far as the original song goes, I think Jamie Fox's "Love Fly" should win the Oscar.
Thanks Anonymous. I have Rio on my long list for the song category, which I have updated here: http://nevertooearlymoviepredictions.blogspot.com/2011/11/84th-oscar-original-song-updates-2011.html
ReplyDeleteMy only concern is whether its early release date will leave it forgotten. Although since they do special screenings, it may not matter as much in this category as some of the others.
don't see Albert nobb's lay your head down..it's fantastic!
ReplyDeletesinead o' connor is amazing..
YEah, you are looking at my old predictions. Lay Your Head Down is listed as number 3 on my new set of predictions, which can be found here: http://nevertooearlymoviepredictions.blogspot.com/2011/11/84th-oscar-original-song-updates-2011.html
ReplyDelete