EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in June 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
Today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Film Editing race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Michael Kahn for War Horse (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 3)
2. Thelma Schoonamker for Hugo Cabret (previous rank 2)
3. Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 4)
4. Mark Day for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 5)
5. Anne-Sophie Bion for The Artist (New)
Alternates:
6. Stephen Mirrione for Contagion (previous rank 6)
7. Hank Corwin, Jay Rabinowitz, Daniel Rezende, Billy Weber and Mark Yoshikawa for The Tree Of Life (previous rank 1)
8. Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey for Super 8 (previous rank 13)
9. Stephen Mirrione for The Ides Of March (previous rank 7)
10. Christopher Tellefsen for Moneyball (previous rank 8)
11. Ronald Sanders for A Dangerous Method (previous rank 12)
12. Joel Cox and Gary Roach for J. Edgar (previous rank 15)
13. Claire Simpson for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (New)
14. Dino Jonsater for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 10)
15. Francois Gedigier for On The Road (previous rank 11)
16. Jose Salcedo for The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 9)
17. Michael Kahn for The Adventures Of Tintin: The Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 19)
18. Jay Rabinowitz for Rampart (previous rank 16)
19. Kevin Trent for The Descendants (previous rank 20)
20. Joe Hutshing and Mark Livolsi for We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 17)
21. Jay Rabinowitz for The Adjustment Bureau (previous rank 14)
22. The Iron Lady (Previous rank 18)
23. Roberta Dalva, Jeffrey Ford and Michael McCusker for Captain America: The First Avenger (previous rank 24)
24. Dana Glauberman for Young Adult (previous rank 26)
25. Mako Kamitsuna for Pariah (previous rank 21)
26. Paul Hirsch for Source Code (previous rank 22)
27. Lee Smith and Eddie Hamilton for X-Men: First Class (previous rank 23)
28. Hughes Winborne for The Help (New)
29. Paul Tothill for Hanna (previous rank 27)
30. Danny Tull for W.E. (previous rank 25)
31. Herve de Luze for Carnage (New)
32. Matthew Newman for Drive (New)
33. Molly M. Stensgaard and Morten Hojbjerg for Melancholia (New)
34. Dierdre Slevin for Snow Flower And The Secret Fan (New)
35. Nick Meyers for Sleeping Beauty (New)
36. William Hoy for Sucker Punch (previous rank 28)
37. Melanie Oliver for Jane Eyre (New)
38. Alisa Lepselter for Midnight In Paris (New)
39. Michael O’Halloran for Red Tails (New)
40. Nicolas Gaster for Coriolanus (New)
41. Dan Lebental and Jim May for Cowboys & Aliens (New)
42. Paul Hirsch for Mission Impossible Ghost Protocol (New)
43. Conrad Buff IV and Mark Goldblatt for Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes (New)
44. James Herbert for Sherlock Holmes: A Game Of Shadows (New)
45. David Brenner, Michael Kahn and Wyatt Smith for Pirates Of The Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (New)
46. Sean Albertson, Matt Chesse, John Gilroy and Aaron Marshall for Warrior (New)
47. Paul Rubell for Thor (New)
48. Alan Edward Bell for Water For Elephants (New)
49. Adam Recht for My Week With Marilyn (New)
50. In The Land Of Blood And Honey (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Film Editing predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into film editing, you might also like Cinematography and Visual Effects.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
Keep in mind, the Editing nominees are almost always Best Picture nominees, to the point where they're almost like an unofficial "top 5" at this point. With that in mind, I think The Descendants and Extremely Loud have a good chance of being higher, instead of Harry Potter, Contagion, Super 8, etc. Case in point, last year's Inception editing snub.
ReplyDelete@Sam!, You're definitely right. They do occasionally go for something else (ie. The Bourne Ultimatum), but now that I've seen The Descendants I'd probably put that higher, and expect that Extremely Loud will be the same. I agree that Super 8 is out, and probably Harry Potter too, but Contagion may still have a shot based on editing quality alone (and I think Mirrione won an award somewhere this year, but can't remember which one.)
ReplyDeleteThanks for checking out my blog. I'd be interested to hear your reflections on the animation categories too since I see you have a special interest in that!
A note that I've updated my predictions in this category. You can see my new predictions at: http://nevertooearlymoviepredictions.blogspot.com/2011/12/84th-oscar-film-editing-updates-2011.html or by using the tracker pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
ReplyDelete