84th Oscar Original and Apapted Screenplay Predictions 3/9/11

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in March 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

84th Oscar Original Screenplay Predictions
1. Abi Morgan for The Iron Lady (Winner)
2. Dustin Lance Black for J. Edgar
3. Scott Z. Burns for Contagion
4. Drake Doremus and Ben York Jones for Like Crazy
5. Terrence Malick for The Tree Of Life

Alternates:
6. Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris
7. Dee Rees for Pariah
8. Qasim Basir for Mooz-lum
9. Mike Millis for Beginners
10. Will Reiser for 50/50
11. Sean Durkin for Martha Marcy May Marlene
12. Jeff Nichols for Take Shelter
13. Paddy Considine for Tyrannosaur
14. Jonathan Raymond for Meek’s Cutoff
15. Dan Fogelman for Crazy Stupid Love
16. Abi Morgan and Steve McQueen for Shame
17. Diablo Cody for Young Adult
18. Lars von Trier for Melancholia
19. Cheryl L. West for The Discarded Boys
20. Tom Hanks and Nia Vardalos for Larry Crowne


84th Oscar Adapted Screenplay Predictions
1. Glenn Close and John Banville for Albert Nobbs (Winner)
2. Christopher Hampton for A Dangerous Method
3. Aaron Sorkin & Steven Zaillian for Moneyball
4. Pedro Almodovar for The Skin That I Inhabit
5. George Clooney and Grant Heslov for The Ides of March

Alternates:
6. Lynne Ramsay for We Need To Talk About Kevin
7. Jose Rivera for On The Road
8. Moira Buffini for Jane Eyre
9. Tate Taylor for The Help
10. John Logan for Hugo Cabret
11. Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash for The Descendants
12. Richard Curtis and Lee Hall for War Horse
13. Bright O’Connor and Peter Straughaun for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
14. Steven Zaillian for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
15. Bruce Robinson for The Rum Diary
16. Steven Moffat and Edgar Wright for The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
17. Cameron Crowe and Aline Brosh McKenna for We Bought A Zoo
18. Steven Kloves for Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
19. Adrian Hodges for My Week with Marilyn
20. Jon Hurwitz and Hayden Schlossberg for A Very Harold and Kumar Christmas



See Original Screenplay predictions for other years HERE.
See Adapted Screenplay predictions for other years HERE.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th