I like to leave an open thread up every once in a while to give all my readers a chance to weigh in.
Use this open thread to tell me how you think I'm doing in the various races, what categories you think I’m most accurate in, what films I should be paying more attention to, ways I can improve this blog, or anything else you’d like to say. (Hey, that’s what an Open Thread is for!)
Thursday, April 28, 2011
87th Oscar Original Song Updates (4/28/11)
Here are today’s rankings for the 87th Oscar Original Song race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. In The Heights (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Sparkle (previous rank 2)
3. Curly Oxide And Vic Thrill (previous rank 3)
4. The Long Play (previous rank 4)
5. Monkeys Of Bollywood (New)
Alternates:
6. Sexual Healing (New)
7. Jesus Christ Superstar (previous rank 5)
8. Jersey Boys (previous rank 6)
9. Untitled Theater Camp Project (New)
10. The Best Little Whorehouse In Texas (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 87th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
1. In The Heights (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Sparkle (previous rank 2)
3. Curly Oxide And Vic Thrill (previous rank 3)
4. The Long Play (previous rank 4)
5. Monkeys Of Bollywood (New)
Alternates:
6. Sexual Healing (New)
7. Jesus Christ Superstar (previous rank 5)
8. Jersey Boys (previous rank 6)
9. Untitled Theater Camp Project (New)
10. The Best Little Whorehouse In Texas (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 87th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
86th Oscar Original Song Updates (4/28/11)
Here are today’s rankings for the 86th Oscar Original Song race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. The Color Purple (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Monsters University (New)
3. The Goree Girls (previous rank 2)
4. Annie (previous rank 3)
5. Carousel (previous rank 4)
Alternates:
6. Untitled Tupac Shakur Project (New)
7. Les Miserables (previous rank 5)
8. Bombay Dreams (previous rank 8)
9. Dalida (previous rank 9)
10. American idiot (previous rank 6)
11. Another Brick In The Wall (previous rank 7)
12. Frank Or Francis (previous rank 10)
13. Bigger Than Jesus (previous rank 11)
14. Bob: The Musical (previous rank 12)
15. Schoolboys In Disgrace (New)
16. Three Faces Of Elvie (New)
17. A Christmas Musical (New)
18. Dusty (New)
19. The Dirt (New)
20. Allen Rock Bank (New)
21. South Pacific (New)
22. Untitled Jeff Buckley Biopic (New)
23. Untitled Miles Davis Biopic (New)
24. Untitled Bob Marley Project (New)
25. Untitled Beach Boys Project (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
1. The Color Purple (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Monsters University (New)
3. The Goree Girls (previous rank 2)
4. Annie (previous rank 3)
5. Carousel (previous rank 4)
Alternates:
6. Untitled Tupac Shakur Project (New)
7. Les Miserables (previous rank 5)
8. Bombay Dreams (previous rank 8)
9. Dalida (previous rank 9)
10. American idiot (previous rank 6)
11. Another Brick In The Wall (previous rank 7)
12. Frank Or Francis (previous rank 10)
13. Bigger Than Jesus (previous rank 11)
14. Bob: The Musical (previous rank 12)
15. Schoolboys In Disgrace (New)
16. Three Faces Of Elvie (New)
17. A Christmas Musical (New)
18. Dusty (New)
19. The Dirt (New)
20. Allen Rock Bank (New)
21. South Pacific (New)
22. Untitled Jeff Buckley Biopic (New)
23. Untitled Miles Davis Biopic (New)
24. Untitled Bob Marley Project (New)
25. Untitled Beach Boys Project (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
85th Oscar Original Song Updates (4/28/11)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
Brand new updates for the 85th Oscar Original Song race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Mervyn Warren for Joyful Noise (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Patrick Doyle for Brave (New)
3. Lenny Kravitz for Selma (New)
4. Rock Of Ages (New)
5. A.R. Rahman for Paani (New)
Alternates:
6. Quartet (previously ranked 8 in the 84th oscar race)
7. Wicked (New)
8. Howard Shore for The Hobbit Part 1 (New)
9. The Suicide Shop (Le Magasin Des Suicides) (New)
10. Low Down (New)
11. Sidney Sharp for Le Grand Jete (New)
12. Alberto Iglesias for Minao (New)
13. A Star Is Born (New)
14. Cleo (New)
15. Nina (New)
16. Janis Joplin: Get It While You Can (New)
17. Down Under (New)
18. Nishat Khan for Four Weddings And A Shaadi (New)
19. Summer Of Dreams (New)
20. City Of Paradise (New)
21. When The Music Is Over (New)
22. Step Up 4 (New)
23. Fraggle Rock (New)
24. Another Brick In The Wall (New)
25. Damn Yankees (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
Brand new updates for the 85th Oscar Original Song race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Mervyn Warren for Joyful Noise (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Patrick Doyle for Brave (New)
3. Lenny Kravitz for Selma (New)
4. Rock Of Ages (New)
5. A.R. Rahman for Paani (New)
Alternates:
6. Quartet (previously ranked 8 in the 84th oscar race)
7. Wicked (New)
8. Howard Shore for The Hobbit Part 1 (New)
9. The Suicide Shop (Le Magasin Des Suicides) (New)
10. Low Down (New)
11. Sidney Sharp for Le Grand Jete (New)
12. Alberto Iglesias for Minao (New)
13. A Star Is Born (New)
14. Cleo (New)
15. Nina (New)
16. Janis Joplin: Get It While You Can (New)
17. Down Under (New)
18. Nishat Khan for Four Weddings And A Shaadi (New)
19. Summer Of Dreams (New)
20. City Of Paradise (New)
21. When The Music Is Over (New)
22. Step Up 4 (New)
23. Fraggle Rock (New)
24. Another Brick In The Wall (New)
25. Damn Yankees (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
84th Oscar Original Song Updates (4/28/11)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
Lots of new additions and changed rankings in the 84th Original Song race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Jonathan Goldsmith for Take This Waltz (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. The Muppets (previous rank 5)
3. Henry Jackman for Winnie The Pooh (New)
4. John Williams for The Adventures Of Tintin: Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 3)
5. Jordin Sparks “The World I Knew” from African Cats (New)
Alternates:
6. John Powell for Rio (New)
7. John Powell for Happy Feet 2 (New)
8. Alexandre Desplat for The Tree Of Life (New)
9. John Williams for War Horse (New)
10. Michael Giacchino for Cars 2 (previous rank 6)
11. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (New)
12. Bebo Valdes for Chico And Rita (New)
13. Hans Zimmer and John Powell for Kung Fu Panda: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 10)
14. Alvin And The Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked (New)
15. W.E. (previous rank 2)
16. Hans Zimmer for Rango (previous rank 7)
17. Paul Cantelon for The Music Never Stopped (previous rank 9)
18. Thom for Pina (New)
19. Pia Briccocola for The Puppet Queen: The Creative Path (New)
20. City Of Angels (New)
21. Milo Coello for Journey To Mt. Fuji (New)
22. James Newton Howard for Water For Elephants (New)
23. Robert Folk for Vivaldi (New)
24. Jonny Greenwood for We Need To Talk About Kevin (New)
25. We Bought A Zoo (New)
26. Ohad Benchetrit for Daydream Nation (New)
27. Carter Burwell for The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 (New)
28. Steve Jablonsky for Transformers 3: Dark Side Of The Moon (New)
29. Christophe Becke for The Hangover 2 (New)
30. Tom Rowlands and Ed Simons (The Chemical Brothers) for Hanna (New)
31. Rachel Portman for One Day (New)
32. Gustavo Santaoalla for On The Road (New)
33. Alan Silvestri for Captain America: The First Avenger (New)
34. Alexandre Desplat for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (New)
35. Dario Marianelli for Jane Eyre (New)
36. Alberto Iglesias for The Skin That I Inhabit (New)
37. Chris Bacon for Source Code (New)
38. Cliff Martinez for Contagion (New)
39. Garry Gregson Williams for Cowboys & Aliens (New)
40. Hans Zimmer for Sherlock Holmes 2: A Game Of Shadows (New)
41. Howard Shore for A Dangerous Method (New)
42. Howard Shore for Hugo Cabret (New)
43. Michael Giacchino for Super 8 (New)
44. Mychael Danna for Moneyball (New)
45. Patrick Doyle for Thor (New)
46. The Ides Of March (New)
47. J. Edgar (New)
48. My Week With Marilyn (New)
49. The Descendants (New)
50. Immortals (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
Lots of new additions and changed rankings in the 84th Original Song race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Jonathan Goldsmith for Take This Waltz (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. The Muppets (previous rank 5)
3. Henry Jackman for Winnie The Pooh (New)
4. John Williams for The Adventures Of Tintin: Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 3)
5. Jordin Sparks “The World I Knew” from African Cats (New)
Alternates:
6. John Powell for Rio (New)
7. John Powell for Happy Feet 2 (New)
8. Alexandre Desplat for The Tree Of Life (New)
9. John Williams for War Horse (New)
10. Michael Giacchino for Cars 2 (previous rank 6)
11. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (New)
12. Bebo Valdes for Chico And Rita (New)
13. Hans Zimmer and John Powell for Kung Fu Panda: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 10)
14. Alvin And The Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked (New)
15. W.E. (previous rank 2)
16. Hans Zimmer for Rango (previous rank 7)
17. Paul Cantelon for The Music Never Stopped (previous rank 9)
18. Thom for Pina (New)
19. Pia Briccocola for The Puppet Queen: The Creative Path (New)
20. City Of Angels (New)
21. Milo Coello for Journey To Mt. Fuji (New)
22. James Newton Howard for Water For Elephants (New)
23. Robert Folk for Vivaldi (New)
24. Jonny Greenwood for We Need To Talk About Kevin (New)
25. We Bought A Zoo (New)
26. Ohad Benchetrit for Daydream Nation (New)
27. Carter Burwell for The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 (New)
28. Steve Jablonsky for Transformers 3: Dark Side Of The Moon (New)
29. Christophe Becke for The Hangover 2 (New)
30. Tom Rowlands and Ed Simons (The Chemical Brothers) for Hanna (New)
31. Rachel Portman for One Day (New)
32. Gustavo Santaoalla for On The Road (New)
33. Alan Silvestri for Captain America: The First Avenger (New)
34. Alexandre Desplat for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (New)
35. Dario Marianelli for Jane Eyre (New)
36. Alberto Iglesias for The Skin That I Inhabit (New)
37. Chris Bacon for Source Code (New)
38. Cliff Martinez for Contagion (New)
39. Garry Gregson Williams for Cowboys & Aliens (New)
40. Hans Zimmer for Sherlock Holmes 2: A Game Of Shadows (New)
41. Howard Shore for A Dangerous Method (New)
42. Howard Shore for Hugo Cabret (New)
43. Michael Giacchino for Super 8 (New)
44. Mychael Danna for Moneyball (New)
45. Patrick Doyle for Thor (New)
46. The Ides Of March (New)
47. J. Edgar (New)
48. My Week With Marilyn (New)
49. The Descendants (New)
50. Immortals (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
84th Oscar Animated Feature Updates (4/27/11)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
I have updated the rankings for the 84th Oscar Animated Feature race, trying to take into account what I know about release dates and special rules regarding motion capture and hybrid live action films. If anyone has any additional information about these, or information about animated features being released in other languages or countries, I’d love to hear about them!
Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Gore Verbinski for Rango (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Antoine Delesvaux and Joann Sfar for The Rabbi’s Cat (Le Chat Du Rabbin) (previous rank 2)
3. Tono Errando, Javier Mariscal and Fernando Trueba for Chico & Rita (previous rank 3)
4. Carlos Saldanha for Rio (previous rank 4)
5. Stephen J. Anderson and Don Hall for Winnie The Pooh (previous rank 5)
Alternates:
6. Antoine Charreyron for The Prodigies (La Nuit Des Enfants Rois) (previous rank 7)
7. Jennifer Yuh for Kung Fu Panda 2: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 8)
8. Yoshimi Itazu and Satoshi Kon for The Dreaming Machine (Yomemiru Kikai) (previous rank 9)
9. John Lasseter and Brad Lewis for Cars 2 (previous rank 10)
10. Jonathan Demme for Zeitoun (previous rank 11)
11. Jacques-Remy Girerd for Mia And The Migoo (Mia Et Le Migou) (New)
12. Michel Ocelot for Tales Of The Night (Les Contes De La Nuit) (previous rank 12)
13. George Miller for Happy Feet 2 (previous rank 13)
14. Chris Miller for Puss In Boots (previous rank 14)
15. Deryck Broom and Roger Hawkins for The Lion Of Judah (New)
16. Ben Stassen for Sammy’s Adventures: A Turtle’s Tale (Sammy’s Avonturen: De Geheime Doorgang) (New)
17. Mike Disa for Hoodwinked Too!: Hood Vs. Evil (previous rank 16)
18. Sarah Smith and Barry Cook for Arthur Christmas (previous rank 18)
19. Mike Mitchell for Alvin And The Chipmunks 3: Chip-Wrecked (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 19)
20. Kelly Asbury for Gnomeo And Juliet (previous rank 22)
21. Richard Goldgewicht for Pablo (New)
22. Robert Rhodin for 1000 Nights (New)
23. Bruce Beresford for Banking On Mr. Toad (New)
24. Bibo Bergeron for A Monster In Paris (Un Monstre A Paris) (New)
25. David Fincher for The Goon (previous rank 15)
26. Tinkerbell (previous rank 20)
27. Luis C. Suarez for RPG Metanoia (previous rank 17)
28. Simon Wells for Mars Needs Moms (possibly ineligible due to Motion Capture) (previous rank 21)
29. Tim Hill for Hop (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 23)
30. Raja Gosnell for The Smurfs (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 24)
31. Steven Sielberg for The Adventures Of Tintin (Likely Ineligible due to Motion Capture) (previous rank 6)
32. Sam Liu and Lauren Montgomery for Batman: Year One (Likely Ineligible due to Release Format) (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Animated Feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into animation, check out the Animated Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
I have updated the rankings for the 84th Oscar Animated Feature race, trying to take into account what I know about release dates and special rules regarding motion capture and hybrid live action films. If anyone has any additional information about these, or information about animated features being released in other languages or countries, I’d love to hear about them!
Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Gore Verbinski for Rango (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Antoine Delesvaux and Joann Sfar for The Rabbi’s Cat (Le Chat Du Rabbin) (previous rank 2)
3. Tono Errando, Javier Mariscal and Fernando Trueba for Chico & Rita (previous rank 3)
4. Carlos Saldanha for Rio (previous rank 4)
5. Stephen J. Anderson and Don Hall for Winnie The Pooh (previous rank 5)
Alternates:
6. Antoine Charreyron for The Prodigies (La Nuit Des Enfants Rois) (previous rank 7)
7. Jennifer Yuh for Kung Fu Panda 2: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 8)
8. Yoshimi Itazu and Satoshi Kon for The Dreaming Machine (Yomemiru Kikai) (previous rank 9)
9. John Lasseter and Brad Lewis for Cars 2 (previous rank 10)
10. Jonathan Demme for Zeitoun (previous rank 11)
11. Jacques-Remy Girerd for Mia And The Migoo (Mia Et Le Migou) (New)
12. Michel Ocelot for Tales Of The Night (Les Contes De La Nuit) (previous rank 12)
13. George Miller for Happy Feet 2 (previous rank 13)
14. Chris Miller for Puss In Boots (previous rank 14)
15. Deryck Broom and Roger Hawkins for The Lion Of Judah (New)
16. Ben Stassen for Sammy’s Adventures: A Turtle’s Tale (Sammy’s Avonturen: De Geheime Doorgang) (New)
17. Mike Disa for Hoodwinked Too!: Hood Vs. Evil (previous rank 16)
18. Sarah Smith and Barry Cook for Arthur Christmas (previous rank 18)
19. Mike Mitchell for Alvin And The Chipmunks 3: Chip-Wrecked (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 19)
20. Kelly Asbury for Gnomeo And Juliet (previous rank 22)
21. Richard Goldgewicht for Pablo (New)
22. Robert Rhodin for 1000 Nights (New)
23. Bruce Beresford for Banking On Mr. Toad (New)
24. Bibo Bergeron for A Monster In Paris (Un Monstre A Paris) (New)
25. David Fincher for The Goon (previous rank 15)
26. Tinkerbell (previous rank 20)
27. Luis C. Suarez for RPG Metanoia (previous rank 17)
28. Simon Wells for Mars Needs Moms (possibly ineligible due to Motion Capture) (previous rank 21)
29. Tim Hill for Hop (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 23)
30. Raja Gosnell for The Smurfs (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 24)
31. Steven Sielberg for The Adventures Of Tintin (Likely Ineligible due to Motion Capture) (previous rank 6)
32. Sam Liu and Lauren Montgomery for Batman: Year One (Likely Ineligible due to Release Format) (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Animated Feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into animation, check out the Animated Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
Tuesday, April 26, 2011
What I Saw: Water For Elephants (84th Oscar Race)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
What I Saw: Water For Elephants
Oscar Chances:
Having seen the film I think that it’s best chances are in these categories:
Art Direction: Jack Fisk and Jim Erickson (currently ranked 7)
Costume Design: Jacqueline West (currently ranked 12)
Cinematography: Rodrigo Prieto (currently ranked 15)
There are also long shot possibilities in these categories:
Score: James Newton Howard (currently ranked 13)
Adapted Screenplay: Richard La Gravenese (currently ranked 29)
Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz (currently ranked 25)
Lead Actress: Reese Witherspoon (currently ranked 34)
Best Picture: (currently ranked 39)
Best Director: Frances Lawrence (currently ranked 46)
It is possible that Hal Holbrook (Supporting Actor) will appear in my next update for that category. I currently not predicting Oscar consideration for Robert Pattinson (Lead Actor).
What I Saw: Water For Elephants
Having seen the film I think that it’s best chances are in these categories:
Art Direction: Jack Fisk and Jim Erickson (currently ranked 7)
Costume Design: Jacqueline West (currently ranked 12)
Cinematography: Rodrigo Prieto (currently ranked 15)
There are also long shot possibilities in these categories:
Score: James Newton Howard (currently ranked 13)
Adapted Screenplay: Richard La Gravenese (currently ranked 29)
Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz (currently ranked 25)
Lead Actress: Reese Witherspoon (currently ranked 34)
Best Picture: (currently ranked 39)
Best Director: Frances Lawrence (currently ranked 46)
It is possible that Hal Holbrook (Supporting Actor) will appear in my next update for that category. I currently not predicting Oscar consideration for Robert Pattinson (Lead Actor).
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