84th Oscar Animated Short Updates (5/7/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in May 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

Lots of new additions and changed rankings in the 84th Oscar Animated Short race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Gary Rydstrom for Hawaiian Vacation (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg for The Fantastic Flying Books Of Mr. Morris Lessmore (previous rank 3)
3. David O’Reilly for The External World (previous rank 4)
4. Stevie Wermers for The Ballad Of Nessie (previous rank 2)
5. Michael Please for The Eagleman Stag (previous rank 5)

Alternates:
6. Johannes Welland and Uwe Heidschoetter for The Little Boy And The Beast (Der Kleine Und Das Biest) (previous rank 7)
7. Jean-Claude Rozec for Specky Four-Eyes (previous rank 8)
8. Patrick Jean for Pixels (previous rank 6)
9. Nicolais Matji for La Bruxa (previous rank 9)
10. Kei Oyama for Hand Soap (previous rank 10)
11. Kirsten Lepore for Bottle (previous rank 14)
12. Hendrick Dusollier for Babel (previous rank 13)
13. Izabela Plucinska for Esterhazy (previous rank 11)
14. Pedro Rivero for Birdboy (previous rank 12)
15. Stephen Quay and Timothy Quay for Maska (New)
16. Max Porter and Ru Kuwahata for Something Left, Something Taken (New)
17. David Chai for Enrique Wrecks The World (New)
18. Jason Carpenter for The Renter (New)
19. Dean Fleischer-Camp for Marcel The Shell With Shoes On (previous rank 15)
20. Wendy Chandler and Susan Danta for Heirlooms (previous rank 17)
21. Jon Heder and Nick Peterson for Drained (previous rank 18)
22. The Rauch Brothers for Danny & Annie (New)
23. Emma Magenta for The Gradual Demise Of Phillipa Finch (New)
24. Frames (New)
25. Kelly Wilson for The Snowman (New)
26. James Barfield for Cookie Crooks (New)
27. Tyler J. Kupferer for The Girl And The Fox (New)
28. Melinda Fule for Deviled Eggs (New)
29. Tod Polson for Escape Of The Gingerbread Man (New)
30. Juan Pablo Zaramella for Luminaris (New)
31. Bianca Ansems for Playing Ghost (New)
32. Gabriel Achanzar for The Egg (New)
33. Sanchita Islam and Andy Frain for White Wall (New)
34. Eric Falardeau for Crepuscule (New)
35. Emily Dean for Forget Me Not (New)
36. Simon Cahn and Spike Jonze for Mourir Aupres De Toi (New)
37. Ernie Berger for House Broken (New)
38. Tim Saguinsin for The Fisherman (New)
39. Dawn Brown for Zooland (New)
40. Walter Santucci for Family (New)
41. Sundae Sundae for Mindwash: The Jake Sessions (New)
42. Rob Silvestri for Ormie (New)
43. Christopher Jarvis for The Birds Upstairs (New)
44. Dustin Grella for Prayers For Peace (New)
45. Zachary Booth for Neighborhood Watch (New)
46. David Lynch for I Push A Red Button (New)
47. Tak Hoon Kim for A Purpleman (New)
48. Jack Minghuel Shih for The Life Journey Of Water (New)
49. Gerald Guthrie for The Necessities Of Life (New)
50. Patrick Junghans for Waiting For Yesterday (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Animated Short predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into animation, you might also like the Animated Features.
If you’re really into shorts, check out the Documentary Shorts and Live Action Shorts.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

85th Oscar Documentary Feature—A Full Slate Of FIRST ENTRIES! (5/7/11)

Although there will undoubtedly be additions to this over time, I was able to identify a full slate of 50 potential entries for the 85th Oscar Documentary Feature race.

1. Laurent Cantet, Benicio Del Toro, Julio Medem, Gaspar Noe, Ella Suleiman, Juan Carlos Tabio and Pablo Trapero for 7 Days In Havana (Predicted Winner)
2. Ryan Hartsell, Justin D. Hillard and Arianne Martin for 3 Thumbs Up
3. Alvaro Longoria for Sons Of The Clouds (Oulad Lemzun)
4. Werner Herzog for Death Row
5. Barbara Holguin for We Of The Saya (Nosotros Los De La Saya)

Alternates:
6. Marc Silver for Who Is Dayani Cristal
7. Oliver Stone for The Untold History Of The United States
8. Daniel Dorobantu for Tau
9. Alexis Hanawalt for Country Mice And City Mice
10. Kristi Jacobson and Lori Silverbush for Hungry In America
11. Mimi Edmunds for Angkor’s Children
12. Carlos Hernandez for De Puro Aire
13. Eugene Martin for The Anderson Monarchs
14. Rosemary Rawcliffe for Women Of Tibet: The Buddha’s Wife
15. Avi Bohbot for The War After
16. Campbell Cooley for Batons and Baguettes
17. Junko Kajino and Ed Koziarski for Uncanny Terrain
18. Matthew Miele for Scatter My Ashes At Bergdorg Goodman
19. Joshua Tickell for Sex & Algae
20. Inia Taylor, DLT and George Nuku for Destination Unknown
21. Olaf Saumer for Sensucht Nach Der Unbekannten Helmat
22. Joanes Prosper and Adrian Washington for Finding The Prospers
23. Christopher Towey and Leah Warshawski for Film Festival: Rwanda
24. John Banovich for Behind Barbwire
25. Femke Wolting, Bruno Felix and Tommy Pallotta for Possession Of The Sea
26. Mohamed El Aboudi for Dance Of Outlaws
27. Roger Ross Williams for God Loves Uganda
28. Terry Benedict for The Death Of Reasonable Doubt
29. Avi Bohbot for Notes Of Exile
30. Ben Rivers and Ben Russell for A Spell To Ward Off The Darkness
31. Cassio Tolpolar for Mamaliga Blues
32. Greg Reitman for Rooted In Peace
33. Jeff Oppenheim for Chasing Elmyr
34. Vertical Farm
35. Mike Barber for A Past Denied: The Invisible History Of Slavery In Canada
36. Joao Pedro Rodrigues and Joao Rui Guerra Da Mata for A Ultima Vez Qe Vi Macau
37. Nina Gilberti for When Jane and Johnny Come Marching Homeless
38. Heather Lenz for Kusama: Princess Of Polka Dots
39. Alastair Fothergill and Mark Linfield for Chimpanzee
40. Gabriel Horn for Crispo’s Christ
41. Louise Psihoyos for The Singing Planet
42. Roger Lay Jr. for Toy Masters
43. Malcolm Wright for Whale Like Me
44. Tom Putnam for Burn
45. Michael LaPointe for Discretion And Faith
46. Julian Jones for Meet The Winthals
47. Lucas McNelly for A Year Without Rent
48. Tamarat Makonnen for In Search Of The Black Knight
49. Andrew James for Street Fighting Man
50. Africa 3D

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into documentaries, check out the Documentary Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

86th Oscar Documentary Feature FIRST ENTRIES (5/7/11)

I have found several potential entries for the 86th Oscar Documentary Feature race.

1. Costa Rica Untitled
2. Mark Moormann for The Old Ballgame
3. Sini Anderson for The Kathleen Hanna Project
4. Michael Gondry for Untitled Noam Chomsky Documentary
5. Avi Lewis for The Message

Alternates:
6. Marina Zenovich for Pictures At A Revolution: Five Movies And the Rebirth Of Hollywood.
7. Arly Badmer for Colton Harris-Moore Documentary
8. Michel Negroponte for The Autobiography of Michelle Maren
9. Sam Dunn and Scott McFadyen for Satan
10. Dean J. Augustin for Final Voice: John F. Kennedy
11. Justin Thaler for Year Zero: The Politics of Punk
12. Jeffrey Schwarz for Tab Hunter Confidential
13. Jim Jarmusch for Untitled Stooges Documentary


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary Feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into documentaries, check out the Documentary Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

88th Oscar Documentary Feature FIRST ENTRY (5/7/11)

I’ve found one potential entry for the 88th Oscar Documentary Feature race.

1. Greg MacGillivray for One World Ocean


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary Feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into documentaries, check out the Documentary Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 88th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

86th Oscar Documentary Short FIRST ENTRIES (5/7/11)

I have found two potential entries for the 86th Oscar Documentary Short race, so I am beginning the predictions now. Note that I don’t actually think that one director will be nominated for two films in the same year. I’m just trying to get the known films up on the board, and will adjust the rankings as additional films become known.

1. Paul Parisi for Love
2. Paul Parisi for A Dollar And A Dream

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary Short predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into documentaries, you might also like the Documentary Features.
If you’re really into shorts, check out the Animated Shorts and Live Action Shorts.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

85th Oscar Documentary Short FIRST ENTRIES (5/7/11)

I have found several potential entries for the 85th Oscar Documentary Short race, so I am beginning the predictions now. Note that I don’t actually think that one director will be nominated for four films of the five slots for the year (!) I’m just trying to get the known films up on the board, and will adjust the rankings as additional films become known.

1. Cevin D. Soling for Llama Lake
2. Paul Parisi for The Edge Of Eve
3. Paul Parisi for A Wonderful Jump
4. Paul Parisi for Band Aids
5. Paul Parisi for The Exit Door

Alternates:
6. Paul Parisi for The Exit Door II
7. Paul Parisi for The Exit Door IV

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary Short predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into documentaries, you might also like the Documentary Features.
If you’re really into shorts, check out the Animated Shorts and Live Action Shorts.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

87th Oscar Live Action Short FIRST ENTRY (5/7/11)

I have identified one potential entry for the 87th Oscar Live Action Short race. “Never Too Early”, right?

1. Jason Young for Joanna Vassa


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Live Action Short predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into shorts, check out the Animated Shorts and Documentary Shorts.
See predictions for other categories at the 87th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th