Wednesday, January 9, 2013

85th Oscar Foreign Language Updates (1/9/2013)

The Academy did well with last year’s pick of A Separation. Let’s see how well they do this year!

1. Amour (Austria) (Predicted Winner)
2. The Intouchables (France)
3. A Royal Affair (Denmark)
4. No (Chile)
5. War Witch (Canada)

Alternates:
6. Kon-Tiki (Norway)
7. Sister (Switzerland)
8. The Deep (Iceland)
9. Beyond The Hills (Romania)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Foreign Language predictions for other years HERE.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  
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85th Oscar Documentary Feature Updates (1/9/13)

The Academy has instituted new rules for the Documentary category, which should allow for more members to participate in both the nominations and the final voting. This year’s short list suggests that the new rules might be working, as almost all of these films have quite a following.

Over time, the larger pool of voters should lead to more crowd pleasers. Let’s just hope they don’t shy away from equally qualified works that address hard-hitting or controversial issues.


1. Searching For Sugar Man (Predicted Winner)
2. The Invisible War
3. The Gatekeepers
4. Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence In The House Of God
5. How To Survive A Plague

Alternates:
6. The Imposter
7. 5 Broken Cameras
8. Chasing Ice
9. This Is Not A Film
10. Detropia
11. Bully
12. Ai Weiwei: Never Sorry
13. The House I Live In
14. The Waiting Room
15. Ethel


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Documentary feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into documentaries, check out the Documentary Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  
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85th Oscar Sound Mixing Updates (1/9/2013)

If you need a refresher course on the difference between the two sound categories, check out my article on Sound Editing Versus Sound Mixing: An Oscar Guide.

Musicals have historically done extremely well in the Sound Mixing category, and my suspicion is that Les Miserables will carry that tradition on “one day more”, a song whose multiple voices actually demonstrates what this category is all about!


1. Les Miserables (Predicted Winner)
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Life Of Pi
4. Skyfall
5. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Alternates:
6. Django Unchained
7. Lincoln
8. The Dark Knight Rises
9. Argo
10. Prometheus
11. The Avengers
12. Flight
13. Snow White And The Huntsman
14. The Impossible
15. Wreck-It Ralph
16. The Amazing Spider-Man
17. The Bourne Legacy
18. Brave
19. Cloud Atlas
20. Looper
21. Rock Of Ages
22. Sparkle
23. Frankenweenie
24. Kon-Tiki
25. Men In Black 3


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Sound Mixing predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into sound, check out the Sound Editing predictions also.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  
.

85th Oscar Sound Editing Updates (1/9/2013)

If you need a refresher course on the difference between the two sound categories, check out my article on Sound Editing Versus Sound Mixing: An Oscar Guide. Right now I think that the recording and creation of all the animal and nature sounds in Life Of Pi will overtake the singing and explosions of Les Miserables, at least here in the Sound Editing category.


1. Life Of Pi (Predicted Winner)
2. Les Miserables
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
5. The Dark Knight Rises

Alternates:
6. Skyfall
7. Django Unchained
8. The Avengers
9. Lincoln
10. Prometheus
11. Flight
12. The Impossible
13. Wreck-It Ralph
14. Looper
15. Snow White And The Huntsman
16. Brave
17. Kon-Tiki
18. Cloud Atlas
19. Battleship
20. Argo
21. The Bourne Legacy
22. The Amazing Spider-Man
23. John Carter
24. Frankenweenie
25. The Hunger Games

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Sound Editing predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into sound, check out the Sound Mixing predictions also.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  
.

85th Oscar Supporting Actress Updates (1/9/13)

Ok. I admit it. I have included a “No Guts, No Glory” prediction for this category in the form of Ann Dowd’s performance in Compliance. My only rationale, aside from the reviews she has received, is that there are a great many members of the actors branch who understand what a nomination would mean to her, which is something that can’t be said of the other top contenders in this category who have already been welcomed into the nominations circle before.

More importantly, the supporting categories were originally created to spotlight the work of career actors exactly like Dowd, as opposed to superstars who happen to have a slightly smaller role than one or two other characters in their film. So even if the role in Compliance is more of a leading one, a nomination for her would actually be a return to form and a victory for all those Academy members who have been overlooked in the past.


1. Anne Hathaway for Les Miserables (Predicted Winner)
2. Sally Field for Lincoln
3. Helen Hunt for The Sessions
4. Amy Adams for The Master
5. Ann Dowd for Compliance

Alternates:
6. Judi Dench for Skyfall
7. Nicole Kidman for The Paperboy
8. Maggie Smith for Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
9. Samantha Barks for Les Miserables
10. Kerry Washington for Django Unchained
11. Jacki Weaver for Silver Linings Playbook
12. Emma Watson for The Perks Of Being A Wallflower
13. Lorraine Toussaint for Middle Of Nowhere
14. Kelly Reilly for Flight
15. Jennifer Ehle for Zero Dark Thirty
16. Pauline Collins for Quartet
17. Amanda Seyfried for Les Miserables
18. Rosemarie DeWitt for Your Sister’s Sister
19. Brit Marling for Sound Of My Voice
20. Frances McDormand for Promised Land
21. Susan Sarandon for Arbitrage
22. Isabelle Huppert for Amour
23. Doona Bae for Cloud Atlas
24. Olivia Colman for Hyde Park On Hudson
25. Olivia Williams for Hyde Park On Hudson


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Supporting Actress predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Lead Actor, Lead Actress and Supporting Actor predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  
.

85th Oscar Supporting Actor Updates (1/9/2013)

Looking at my predictions for this category, it seems odd to have have all former nominees here. No, not just nominees, but all former WINNERS. Could Henry, McConaughey, McGregor or Redmayne sneak in? Can Harvey Weinstein pull of a miracle for one of the Django men? We’ll know in a little over 24 hours!


1. Tommy Lee Jones for Lincoln (Predicted Winner)
2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman for The Master
3. Alan Arkin for Argo
4. Robert De Niro for Silver Linings Playbook
5. Javier Bardem for Skyfall

Alternates:
6. Leonardo DiCaprio for Django Unchained
7. Christoph Waltz for Django Unchained
8. Dwight Henry for Beasts Of The Southern Wild
9. Matthew McConaughey for Magic Mike
10. Ewan McGregor for The Impossible
11. Eddie Redmayne for Les Miserables
12. Ezra Miller for The Perks Of Being A Wallflower
13. Michael Pena for End Of Watch
14. John Goodman for Argo
15. Samuel L. Jackson for Django Unchained
16. Russell Crowe for Les Miserables
17. Jason Clarke for Zero Dark Thirty
18. Jude Law for Anna Karenina
19. William H. Macy for The Sessions
20. Bruce Willis for Moonrise Kingdom
21. David Oyelowo for Middle Of Nowhere
22. Michael Fassbender for Prometheus
23. John Goodman for Flight
24. Bryan Cranston for Argo
25. Sam Rockwell for Seven Psychopaths


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Supporting Actor predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Lead Actor, Lead Actress and Supporting Actress predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  
.

85th Oscar Film Editing Updates (1/9/13)

It looks to me like this will be another year where all of the Film Editing nominees also receive Best Picture nominations, but you never know when the editors might throw in a surprise like last year’s winner The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo!

1. Zero Dark Thirty (Predicted Winner)
2. Argo
3. Life Of Pi
4. Lincoln
5. Les Miserables

Alternates:
6. Skyfall
7. Silver Linings Playbook
8. Django Unchained
9. Cloud Atlas
10. The Dark Knight Rises
11. The Master
12. Anna Karenina
13. Flight
14. Moonrise Kingdom
15. Beasts Of The Southern Wild
16. The Impossible
17. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
18. Looper
19. Prometheus
20. End Of Watch

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Film Editing predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into film editing, you might also like Cinematography and Visual Effects.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  
.