Oscar loves to reward villains in the supporting actor race, and they’ve got one of the cruelest possible in Michael Fassbender’s rendition of real-life slave owner Edwin Epps. Fassbender has plenty of competition from Jared Leto, Tom Hanks and a host of possibilities seen and unseen, but his biggest competition may come from the overwhelming critical success of his own movie. There have only been a handful of times that Oscar has rewarded the same film with both Lead Actor and Supporting Actor wins (the most recent example was a decade ago with Mystic River), and the near certain wins that 12 Years A Slave will be picking up in other places could mean that supporting actor is an easy place for voters to spread the wealth to another film, especially if Fassbender refuses to hit the campaign trail. Still, I think he’s the best bet until the precursors point us clearly in another direction.
1. Michael Fassbender in 12 Years A Slave (Predicted Winner)
2. Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club
3. Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks
4. Bradley Cooper in American Hustle
5. Jonah Hill in The Wolf Of Wall Street
Alternates:
6. Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips
7. Daniel Bruhl in Rush
8. James Gandolfini in Enough Said
9. Harrison Ford in 42
10. Will Forte in Nebraska
11. John Goodman in Inside Llewyn Davis
12. Matthew McConaughey in Mud
13. Jake Gyllenhaal in Prisoners
14. David Oyelowo in Lee Daniels’ The Butler
15. George Clooney in Gravity
16. Ryan Gosling in The Place Beyond The Pines
17. Geoffrey Rush in The Book Thief
18 Dane DeHaan in Kill Your Darlings
19. Sam Rockwell in The Way Way Back
20. James Franco in Spring Breakers
21. Josh Brolin in Labor Day
22. Jeremy Renner in American Hustle
23. Steve Coogan in Philomena
24. Chris Cooper in August: Osage County
25. Bradley Cooper in The Place Beyond The Pines
26. Ben Foster in Ain’t Them Bodies Saints
27. Casey Affleck in Out Of The Furnace
28. Matthew McConaughey in The Wolf Of Wall Street
29. Paul Dano in Prisoners
30. Woody Harrelson in Out Of The Furnace
31. Keith Stanfield in Short Term 12
32. Tahar Rahim in The Past
33. Javier Bardem in The Counselor
34. Joel Edgerton in The Great Gatsby
35. Paul Dano in 12 Years A Slave
36. Bobby Cannavale in Blue Jasmine
37. Tony Danza in Don Jon
38. Andrew Dice Clay in Blue Jasmine
39. Tobey Maguire in The Great Gatsby
40. Sharlto Copley in Elysium
41. Benedict Cumberbatch in August: Osage County
42. Colin Farrell in Saving Mr. Banks
43. Ben Foster in Lone Survivor
44. Brad Pitt in The Counselor
45. Cuba Gooding Jr. in Lee Daniels’ The Butler
46. Brad Pitt in 12 Years A Slave
47. Ewan McGregor in August: Osage County
48. Michael C. Hall in Kill Your Darlings
49. Tommy Lee Jones in Emperor
50. Johnny Depp in The Lone Ranger
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
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