Sunday, November 17, 2013

86th Oscar Adapted Screenplay Updates (2013-2014 Awards Season) (11/17/2013)

One of the things that Oscar watchers have to explain to the general public each year is that the Adapted Screenplay race includes not only adaptations from books, television and older movies, but also any sequel whose characters are based on an earlier work, and even some films that are very loosely based on a news or magazine article. This year, however, several studios seem to be attempting to change that trend, by campaigning their movies in the original screenplay category instead.

In most cases this isn’t going to matter anyway: The films that are challenging their presumptive categorization made my long list but don’t show up in my top five in either this category or my previously published Original Screenplay predictions. But it does make me wonder what the writers -- and their studios -- are up to. Might they be paving the way toward a new delineation of the categories and a future rules change? Or are they simply trying to position themselves so that the films will be noticed in other places (or at other award shows)?

1. John Ridley for Twelve Years A Slave (Predicted Winner)
2. Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy and Ethan Hawke for Before Midnight
3. Terence Winter for The Wolf Of Wall Street
4. Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope for Philomena
5. Billy Ray for Captain Phillips

6. Tracy Letts for August: Osage County
7. Abdellatif Kechiche and Ghalia Lacroix for Blue Is The Warmest Color
8. Jason Reitman for Labor Day
9. Destin Cretton for Short Term 12
10. Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber for The Spectacular Now
11. Danny Strong for Lee Daniels’ The Butler (if voters don’t accept the “original” campaign)
12. Michael Petroni for The Book Thief
13. Peter Berg for Lone Survivor
14. Steve Conrad for The Secret Life Of Walter Mitty
15. Baz Luhrmann and Craig Pearce for The Great Gatsby
16. Carl Joos and Felix Van Groeningen for The Broken Circle Breakdown
17. Jennifer Lee, Chris Buck and Shane Morris for Frozen (if voters don’t accept the “original” campaign)
18. William Nicholson for Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom
19. Hayao Miyazaki for The Wind Rises
20. Joss Whedon for Much Ado About Nothing
21. Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson and Guillermo Del Toro for The Hobbit: The Desolation Of Smaug
22. Robert L. Baird, Daniel Gerson and Dan Scanlon for Monsters University (if voters don’t accept the “original” campaign)
23. Mark Protosevich for Oldboy
24. Daniel Pennac for Ernest & Celestine
25. Abi Morgan for The Invisible Woman

26. Kasi Lemmons for Black Nativity
27. Francois Ozon for In The House
28. Gilles Bourdos and Jerome Tonnerre for Renoir
29. Robert Orci, Alex Kurtzman and Damon Lindelof for Star Trek Into Darkness
30. Josh Singer for The Fifth Estate
31. Simon Beaufoy and Michael Arndt for The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
32. Micah Fitzerman-Blue and Noah Harpster for The Motel Life
33. David Nicholls for Great Expectations
34. Lem Dobbs for The Company You Keep
35. Tony Briggs and Keith Thompson for The Sapphires
36. Mitchell Kapner and David Lindsay-Abaire for Oz: The Great And Powerful
37. Matthew Michael Carnahan, Drew Goddard, Damon Lindelof and J. Michael Straczynski for World War Z
38. Seth Rogen and Evan Goldberg for This Is The End
39. Tom Bradby for Shadow Dancer
40. David Gordon Green for Prince Avalanche
41. Justin Haythe, Ted Elliott and Terry Rossio for The Lone Ranger
42. William Wheeler, Mohsin Hamid and Ami Boghani for The Reluctant Fundamentalist
43. Carroll Cartwright and Nancy Doyne for What Maisie Knew
44. Morgan Land and Ariel Vromen for The Iceman
45. David S. Goyer and Christopher Nolan for Man Of Steel
46. Chris Morgan, Hossein Amini and Walter Hamada for 47 Ronin
47. Drew Pearce and Shane Black for Iron Man 3
48. Malcolm D. Lee for The Best Man Holiday
49. Karl Gajdusek and Michael Arndt for Oblivion
50. Gavin Hood for Ender’s Game

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Adapted Screenplay predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Original Screenplay predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year:  87th,  88th,  89th  

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