Wednesday, October 16, 2013

86th Oscar Best Picture Updates (2013-2014 Awards Season) (10/16/13)

I’ve been away from the Oscar game for a while, but instead of crying over spilled milk, let’s see if I can get back on track. More categories will be coming over the next few weeks, but Best Picture seems like a good place to start again.

As luck would have it, I saw two of my top five films over the past two weekends (Gravity and Captain Phillips), and my predicted winner is opening this weekend in the form of Steve McQueen’s Twelve Years A Slave. You know that I’ll be first in line!

So without further ado, here’s what I’m predicting at the moment:

1. Twelve Years A Slave (Predicted Winner)
2. Gravity
3. American Hustle
4. Captain Phillips
5. Saving Mr. Banks
6. Inside Llewyn Davis
7. Fruitvale Station
8. Nebraska
9. The Butler
10. The Monuments Men

11. August: Osage County
12. The Wolf Of Wall Street
13. Blue Jasmine
14. Her
15. Philomena
16. The Secret Life Of Walter Mitty
17. Rush
18. Before Midnight
19. All Is Lost
20. Blue Is The Warmest Color
21. Prisoners
22. Labor Day
23. Dallas Buyers Club
24. The Counselor
25. The Book Thief
26. The Great Gatsby
27. Enough Said
28. The Place Beyond The Pines
29. The Fifth Estate
30. The Past

31. Out Of The Furnace
32. Mud
33. Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom
34. Oz The Great And Powerful
35. The Hobbit: The Desolation Of Smaug
36. Ain’t Them Bodies Saints
37. Stories We Tell
38. The Way Way Back
39. Elysium
40. Frances Ha
41. Renoir
42. 42
43. The Grandmaster
44. Much Ado About Nothing
45. Black Nativity
46. The Spectacular Now
47. The Bling Ring
48. Lone Survivor
49. The Lone Ranger
50. Short Term 12

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories.    
See Best Picture predictions for other years HERE.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  



  1. Great list, so many of those I want to see!

    Isn't Blue Is The Warmest Color out of the oscar race? (in foreign film category at least) I thought I heard that, because of the release date, it didn't meet the academy's requirements.

    1. Thanks Chris!

      Blue did indeed miss the deadline for the foreign film category (and France has submitted Renoir instead). But it will get a U.S. release this year which makes it eligible for every category EXCEPT the foreign film race -- which seems rather strange but it actually happens quite often, just usually not with films that have such a high profile!

  2. Aww, lovely to see Much Ado make the list. Think it'll be a bit of a stretch to see it get nominated, but wouldn't it be amazing if it did in amongst some of those films?

    1. Thanks Jaina! I saw Much Ado and liked it a lot myself. Unfortunately Oscar voters tend to have short memories, and I don't think it will get much of a campaign from the studio, which is why it shows up so low on my list. It will probably show up a bit higher in my adapted screenplay predictions, although still not likely to break into the top 5.

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  3. Totally agree with your top 10 prediction. I think this year it will be 12 Years a Slave vs. Gravity.

    Good to have you back!

    1. Thanks my friend! It's good to be back.

      I could see that match up, with Twelve arguing for historical importance and Gravity arguing technological innovations.

  4. Nice one! It will definitely be a battle between 12 and Gravity. Would be nice if HER makes it through the final round of Oscar though

    1. Thanks Daniel! I haven't seen it yet, but I can imagine Her might have a better chance of making it for best screenplay (and its currently in my top 10 for best actor). I do think it will get a lot of critics love though!