Wednesday, October 30, 2013

86th Oscar Lead Actress Updates (2013-2014 Awards Season) (10/30/2013)

Former nominees and winners are currently the frontrunners for the Lead Actress race, but there are several newcomers just below the surface. Can any of them break through for a nomination? Will love for Gravity drive Sandra Bullock to a second win over the critically acclaimed performance of Cate Blanchett in Woody Allen’s Blue Jasmine? Or will Meryl Streep or Judi Dench blow past them all?

1. Cate Blanchett in Blue Jasmine (Predicted Winner)
2. Sandra Bullock in Gravity
3. Meryl Streep in August: Osage County
4. Judi Dench in Philomena
5. Emma Thompson in Saving Mr. Banks

6. Amy Adams in American Hustle
7. Adele Exarchopoulos in Blue Is The Warmest Color
8. Julie Delpy in Before Midnight
9. Kate Winslet in Labor Day
10. Julia Roberts in August: Osage County (if voters don’t buy the “supporting” campaign)
11. Brie Larson in Short Term 12
12. Berenice Bejo in The Past
13. Greta Gerwig in Frances Ha
14. Shailene Woodley in The Spectacular Now
15. Julia Louis-Dreyfus in Enough Said
16. Carey Mulligan in The Great Gatsby
17. Paulina Garcia in Gloria
18. Rooney Mara in Ain’t Them Bodies Saints
19. Jennifer Hudson in Black Nativity
20. Melissa McCarthy in The Heat
21. Sophie Nelisse in The Book Thief
22. Felicity Jones in The Invisible Woman
23. Emma Watson in The Bling Ring (if voters don’t buy the “supporting” campaign)
24. Robin Weigart in Concussion
25. Naomi Watts in Diana

26. Andrea Riseborough in Shadow Dancer
27. Ziyi Zhang in The Grandmaster
28. Audrey Tautou in Therese
29. Amanda Seyfried in Lovelace
30. Amy Seimetz in Upstream Color
31. Lake Bell in In A World…
32. Angela Bassett in Black Nativity (if pushed lead)
33. Scarlett Johansson in Don Jon
34. Kathryn Hahn in Afternoon Delight
35. Nora Aunor in Thy Womb
36. Amy Acker in Much Ado About Nothing
37. Jennifer Lawrence in The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
38. Waad Mohammed in Wadjda
39. Saoirse Ronan in How I Live Now
40. Naomi Watts in Sunlight Jr.
41. Rachel McAdams in About Time
42. Christa Theret in Renoir
43. Elizabeth Olsen in Therese
44. Rinko Kikuchi in Pacific Rim
45.Elizabeth Olsen in Oldboy
46. Tilda Swinton in Only Lovers Left Alive
47. Michelle Pfeiffer in The Family
48. Alice Lowe in Sightseers
49. Katie Chang in The Bling Ring
50. Sandra Bullock in The Heat

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Lead Actress predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Lead Actor, Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year:  87th,  88th,  89th  



  1. The all-former-winner top 5 line-up is certainly exciting!! I'll be glad if any of them wins but now it looks like a competition among Cate, Sandra, and the she-is-nominated-as-long-as-she-wants Meryl.

    1. Yep. I'm definitely cheering for Cate at this point (and based on the ones I've seen so far), but they've all got strong cases to make.

  2. I'm surprised that a Phl actress is included in your alternate list. Is she eligible when her film is not the official entry of the Phil in the foreign language film category?

    1. As long as a film plays in Los Angeles for at least one week, it's eligible for all the other categories regardless of whether it was chosen by its country for the foreign language race. It's still a real longshot (my alternates are ranked by order of likelihood and she's way down at 35), but she's picked up enough film festival awards to be worthy of a place on my long list.

    2. Even Ms Nora Aunor is way down at 35 on your lists its a recognition of her world class acting in the film. Hats off to Ms Aunor.

    3. Even Ms Nora Aunor is way down at 35 on your lists its a recognition of her world class acting in the film. Hats off to Ms Aunor.

    4. Exactly. I haven't had the pleasure of seeing the film yet, but the reviews she's getting are really phenomenal.