The best actor race is filled with important biographical pieces on the one hand, and stunning out of the box performances on the other.
Jake Gyllenhaal’s Nightcrawler was a particular favorite in my household, and I may still move him into the top five before January (or even next weekend after I see Foxcatcher). But the fundamentals of the race are still against him even after those SAG and Golden Globe nominations: It’s a film from a small studio with a small campaign budget that got a relatively small release, there aren’t any best picture coattails for him to ride to the nomination, and the actors branch usually prefers to nominate “creepy” characters in the supporting category rather than in lead. Still, here’s hoping that Jake makes the necessary rounds to promote the film -- and that voters actually put the screener in the DVD player to watch it!
- Michael Keaton in Birdman (Predicted Winner)
- Eddie Redmayne in The Theory Of Everything
- David Oyelowo in Selma
- Benedict Cumberbatch in The Imitation Game
- Steve Carell in Foxcatcher
Alternates:
- Jake Gyllenhaal in Nightcrawler
- Timothy Spall in Mr. Turner
- Bradley Cooper in American Sniper
- Oscar Isaac in A Most Violent Year
- Jack O’Connell in Unbroken
- Ralph Fiennes in The Grand Budapest Hotel
- Miles Teller in Whiplash
- Tom Hardy in Locke
- Channing Tatum in Foxcatcher
- Joaquin Phoenix in Inherent Vice
- Bill Murray in St. Vincent
- Matthew McConaughey in Interstellar
- Ellar Coltrane in Boyhood
- Ben Affleck in Gone Girl
- Chadwick Boseman in Get On Up
- Christoph Waltz in Big Eyes
- Brad Pitt in Fury
- Brendan Gleeson in Calvary
- John Lithgow in Love Is Strange
- James Corden in Into The Woods
- Christian Bale in Exodus: Gods And Kings
- Gael Garcia Bernal in Rosewater
- Bill Hader in The Skeleton Twins
- Alfred Molina in Love Is Strange
- Philip Seymour Hoffman in A Most Wanted Man
- Mark Wahlberg in The Gambler
- Mark Ruffalo in Begin Again
- Chris Rock in Top Five
- Jeremy Renner in Kill The Messenger
- Bill Nighy in Pride
- James McAvoy in The Disappearance Of Eleanor Rigby
- Jim Broadbent in Le Week-End
- Andre Benjamin in Jimi: All Is By My Side
- Aleksey Serebryakov in Leviathan
- Tommy Lee Jones in The Homesman
- Russell Crowe in Noah
- Colin Firth in The Railway Man
- Michael Pena in Cesar Chavez
- Robert Downey Jr. in The Judge
- Al Pacino in The Humbling
- Viggo Mortensen in The Two Faces Of January
- Jude Law in Dom Hemingway
- Kevin Costner in Black Or White
- Jon Favreau in Chef
- George Clooney in The Monuments Men
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
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