Wednesday, October 23, 2013

86th Oscar Lead Actor Updates (2013-2014 Awards Season) (10/23/13)

The lead actor category usually sticks with the largest names, and this year may be no exception. WIth stars like Robert Redford, Tom Hanks and Bruce Dern in the mix, the youngsters are probably just going to have to wait. Hopefully, though, the 36 year old Chiwetel Ejiofor will be able to grab the final award out of their cold, aging hands!

1. Chiwetel Ejiofor in Twelve Years A Slave (Predicted Winner)
2. Robert Redford in All Is Lost
3. Matthew McConaughey in Dallas Buyers Club
4. Tom Hanks in Captain Phillips
5. Bruce Dern in Nebraska

6. Michael B. Jordan in Fruitvale Station
7. Forest Whitaker in The Butler
8. Leonardo DiCaprio in The Wolf Of Wall Street
9. Oscar Isaac in Inside Llewyn Davis
10. Joaquin Phoenix in Her
11. Christian Bale in American Hustle
12. Hugh Jackman in Prisoners
13. Idris Elba in Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom
14. Ethan Hawke in Before Midnight
15. Michael Fassbender in The Counselor
16. Mads Mikkelsen in The Hunt
17. Daniel Bruhl in Rush (if the voters don’t buy the “supporting” campaign)
18. Dane DeHaan in Kill Your Darlings (if pushed lead)
19. Leonardo DiCaprio in The Great Gatsby
20. Ralph Fiennes in The Invisible Woman
21. Ben Stiller in The Secret Life Of Walter Mitty
22. Casey Affleck in Ain’t Them Bodies Saints
23. Miles Teller in The Spectacular Now
24. Jacob Latimore in Black Nativity
25. Benedict Cumberbatch in The Fifth Estate

26. Chris Hemsworth in Rush
27. Christian Bale in Out Of The Furnace
28. Josh Brolin in Labor Day
29. Ryan Gosling in The Place Beyond The Pines
30. Joseph Gordon-Levitt in Don Jon
31. Daniel Radcliffe in Kill Your Darlings
32. Chadwick Boseman in 42
33. Steve Coogan in Philomena
34. Mark Wahlberg in Lone Survivor
35. Tye Sheridan in Mud
36. Will Forte in Nebraska
37. Tahar Rahim in The Past
38. James Gandolfini in Enough Said
39. Josh Brolin in Oldboy
40. Alec Baldwin in Blue Jasmine (if voters buy the “lead” campaign)
41. Michel Bouquet in Renoir
42. Terence Stamp in Unfinished Song
43. Chris O’Dowd in The Sapphires
44. Tony Leung in The Grandmaster
45. Michael Shannon in The Iceman
46. Paul Rudd in Prince Avalanche
47. Ryan Gosling in Only God Forgives
48. Paul Giamatti in All Is Bright
49. Liam James in The Way Way Back
50. James Franco in Oz The Great And Powerful

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    
See Lead Actor predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Lead Actress, Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  


  1. Chiwetel gets a huge buzz, but for now I don't see him really holding that title in the end. What I've seen so far, Hanks is brilliant. Matthew has also good chances, after being snubbed last year.

    1. Thanks Nika!

      I think Hanks is solid for a nomination, but I really hope he doesn't win it. I think his last few minutes were really strong, but it seems like he's been over rewarded, in my opinion. I haven't seen McConaughey yet but I'm hoping that the Best Picture chances for Twelve will keep Ejiofor's name in the race to the end.

    2. Actors branch is not so welcoming for newcomers, they love rewarding again and again. But we'll see, maybe it's time for Redford

    3. Agreed on that. Redford will definitely be in contention. I could easily see them giving it to him, especially if Twelve is rewarded elsewhere. Still, I'm hoping for Ejiofor!

  2. The Actor/Actress categories always seems to be more about rewarding the stalwarts, no matter what they're currently nominated for. Shame. Still, some good choices for next year. Wonder if there will be any surprises.

    1. The biggest surprise that I'm hoping for is Michael B. Jordan in Fruitvale Station. Wonderful film and great performance. And it does have Harvey Weinstein backing it so there's always a chance!

  3. Ooooh exciting year! I had been thinking Idris Elba would be the favourite if all goes well with the Mandela pic. I suppose it could be another Diana though. Hopefully not!

    1. Thanks Pete. I'm looking forward to Mandela and really hoping that it doesn't get reviews as bad as what we're hearing for Diana, but I do think the basic awards story will go the same way -- a baity part that just doesn't connect with voters.

  4. Have you seen Prince Avalanche? Paul Rudd delivers one of the best performances this year. Well, in my opinion. Love the movie!

    1. I haven't seen Prince Avalanche, unfortunately. Maybe he can pick up some traction with the independent spirit awards? But even those have started to mimic the Oscar registry in a lot of categories, so I'm not sure.