86th Oscar Supporting Actress Updates (2013-2014 Awards Season) (12/9/2013)

If you want to boost the Oscar ratings and have the whole country break down in tears, then there’s really only one person who can win the Supporting Actress award. Just don’t do something foolish like giving it out at the beginning of the ceremony: Make us wait for it!

When Oprah Winfrey, the goddess of television, teams up with Harvey Weinstein, the god of Oscar campaigning, then you can be pretty sure where this race will be heading come March. I suspect that there will be tons of critics groups trying to draw attention to the other (entirely worthy) competitors before then, but at the end of the day the motion picture business is, in fact, a business. And no one knows how to work the business like Harvey and Oprah!

1. Oprah Winfrey in Lee Daniels’ The Butler (Predicting Winner)

2. Lupita Nyong’o in 12 Years A Slave

3. Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle

4. Julia Roberts in August: Osage County

5. June Squibb in Nebraska

Alternates:

6. Octavia Spencer in Fruitvale Station

7. Sally Hawkins in Blue Jasmine

8. Lea Seydoux in Blue Is The Warmest Color

9. Margo Martindale in August: Osage County

10. Naomie Harris in Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom

11. Sarah Paulson in 12 Years A Slave

12. Carey Mulligan in Inside Llewyn Davis

13. Melissa Leo in Prisoners

14. Emily Watson in The Book Thief

15. Jennifer Garner in Dallas Buyers Club

16. Scarlett Johansson in Her

17. Margot Robbie in The Wolf Of Wall Street

18. Melonie Diaz in Fruitvale Station

19. Amy Adams in Her

20. Eva Mendes in The Place Beyond The Pines

21. Cameron Diaz in The Counselor

22. Isla Fisher in The Great Gatsby

23. Juliette Lewis in August: Osage County

24. Julianne Nicholson in August: Osage County

25. Allison Janney in The Way Way Back

26. Toni Collette in The Way Way Back

27. Alfre Woodard in 12 Years A Slave

28. Kristin Scott Thomas in Only God Forgives

29. Viola Davis in Prisoners

30. Kristen Wiig in The Secret Life Of Walter Mitty

31. Reem Abdullah in Wadjda

32. Emma Watson in The Bling Ring

33. Penelope Cruz in The Counselor

34. Kristin Scott Thomas in The Invisible Woman

35. Adepero Oduye in 12 Years A Slave

36. Scarlett Johansson in Don Jon

37. Elizabeth Debicki in The Great Gatsby

38. Maria Bello in Prisoners

39. Kaitlyn Dever in Short Term 12

40. Yolonda Ross in Go For Sisters

41. Joanna Scanlan in The Invisible Woman

42. Julianne Moore in Don Jon

43. Mickey Sumner in Frances Ha

44. Zoe Saldana in Out Of The Furnace

45. Vanessa Redgrave in Unfinished Song

46. Jodie Foster in Elysium

47. Angela McEwan in Nebraska

48. Angela Bassett in Black Nativity

49. Nicole Kidman in Stoker

50. Rooney Mara in Her

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!

See Supporting Actress predictions for other years HERE.

Or check out the Lead Actor, Lead Actress and Supporting Actor predictions.

See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.

Switch to another year:  87th,  88th,  89th  

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86th Oscar Supporting Actor Updates (2013-2014 Awards Season) (11/27/2013)

Oscar loves to reward villains in the supporting actor race, and they’ve got one of the cruelest possible in Michael Fassbender’s rendition of real-life slave owner Edwin Epps. Fassbender has plenty of competition from Jared Leto, Tom Hanks and a host of possibilities seen and unseen, but his biggest competition may come from the overwhelming critical success of his own movie. There have only been a handful of times that Oscar has rewarded the same film with both Lead Actor and Supporting Actor wins (the most recent example was a decade ago with Mystic River), and the near certain wins that 12 Years A Slave will be picking up in other places could mean that supporting actor is an easy place for voters to spread the wealth to another film, especially if Fassbender refuses to hit the campaign trail. Still, I think he’s the best bet until the precursors point us clearly in another direction.

1. Michael Fassbender in 12 Years A Slave (Predicted Winner)

2. Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club

3. Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks

4. Bradley Cooper in American Hustle

5. Jonah Hill in The Wolf Of Wall Street

Alternates:

6. Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips

7. Daniel Bruhl in Rush

8. James Gandolfini in Enough Said

9. Harrison Ford in 42

10. Will Forte in Nebraska

11. John Goodman in Inside Llewyn Davis

12. Matthew McConaughey in Mud

13. Jake Gyllenhaal in Prisoners

14. David Oyelowo in Lee Daniels’ The Butler

15. George Clooney in Gravity

16. Ryan Gosling in The Place Beyond The Pines

17. Geoffrey Rush in The Book Thief

18 Dane DeHaan in Kill Your Darlings

19. Sam Rockwell in The Way Way Back

20. James Franco in Spring Breakers

21. Josh Brolin in Labor Day

22. Jeremy Renner in American Hustle

23. Steve Coogan in Philomena

24. Chris Cooper in August: Osage County

25. Bradley Cooper in The Place Beyond The Pines

26. Ben Foster in Ain’t Them Bodies Saints

27. Casey Affleck in Out Of The Furnace

28. Matthew McConaughey in The Wolf Of Wall Street

29. Paul Dano in Prisoners

30. Woody Harrelson in Out Of The Furnace

31. Keith Stanfield in Short Term 12

32. Tahar Rahim in The Past

33. Javier Bardem in The Counselor

34. Joel Edgerton in The Great Gatsby

35. Paul Dano in 12 Years A Slave

36. Bobby Cannavale in Blue Jasmine

37. Tony Danza in Don Jon

38. Andrew Dice Clay in Blue Jasmine

39. Tobey Maguire in The Great Gatsby

40. Sharlto Copley in Elysium

41. Benedict Cumberbatch in August: Osage County

42. Colin Farrell in Saving Mr. Banks

43. Ben Foster in Lone Survivor

44. Brad Pitt in The Counselor

45. Cuba Gooding Jr. in Lee Daniels’ The Butler

46. Brad Pitt in 12 Years A Slave

47. Ewan McGregor in August: Osage County

48. Michael C. Hall in Kill Your Darlings

49. Tommy Lee Jones in Emperor

50. Johnny Depp in The Lone Ranger

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!

See Supporting Actor predictions for other years HERE.

Or check out the Lead Actor, Lead Actress and Supporting Actress predictions.

See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.

Switch to another year:  87th,  88th,  89th  

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86th Oscar Animated Feature Updates (2013-2014 Awards Season) (11/19/2013)

The Animated Feature race is always fascinating to me, not least of which because half of the submission list comes from international entries. Personally, I think that every category should be that way, since there are, after all, a whole world worth of actors, directors, costume designers and all out there.

This year the top competition comes from Disney’s yet to be released Frozen and Hayao Miyazaki’s final work The Wind Rises, with Pixar’s Monsters University feeling like a close third. I’ll be closely following Frozen’s reception and box office when it opens during the U.S.’s Thanksgiving weekend, but for now I’m thinking that the sentimental vote will propel Miyazaki’s swan song to the win.

1. Hayao Miyazaki for The Wind Rises (Predicted Winner)

2. Chris Buck and Jennifer Lee for Frozen

3. Dan Scanlon for Monsters University

4. Stephanie Aubier, Vincent Patar and Benjamin Renner for Ernest & Celestine

5. Kirk De Micco and Chris Sanders for The Croods

Alternates:

6. Pierre Coffin and Chris Renaud for Despicable Me 2

7. Hiroyuki Okiura for A Letter To Momo

8. Chris Wedge for Epic

9. Fernando Cortizo for The Apostle

10. Cody Cameron and Kris Pearn for Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 2

11. Luiz Bolognesi for Rio 2069: A Story Of Love And Fury

12. Nancy Florence Savard for The Legend Of Sarila

13. David Soren for Turbo

14. Sang-ho Yeon for The Fake

15. Jimmy Hayward for Free Birds

16. Anthony Silverston for Khumba

17. Klay Hall for Planes

18. Yukihiro Miyamoto and Akiyuki Shinbo for Puella Magi Madoka Magica The Movie Part 3: Rebellion

19. Raja Gosnell for The Smurfs 2

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    

See Animated Feature predictions for other years HERE.

If you’re really into animation, check out the Animated Shorts also.

See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.

Switch to another year:  87th,  88th,  89th  

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