tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1361012654645694959.post7666368437588101095..comments2024-03-27T17:44:49.819-07:00Comments on Never Too Early Movie Predictions: 84th Oscar Documentary Feature Updates (12/9/11)NeverTooEarlyMPhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06971628452385566511noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1361012654645694959.post-33911399823717981182011-12-13T04:49:15.635-08:002011-12-13T04:49:15.635-08:00Ryan, you may be onto something, since Undefeated ...Ryan, you may be onto something, since Undefeated just scored a BFCA nomination for best documentary! I'd forgotten about the campaigning power that can still go into the precursors!NeverTooEarlyMPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06971628452385566511noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1361012654645694959.post-63256245227979460412011-12-12T08:56:30.143-08:002011-12-12T08:56:30.143-08:00@Ryan, I thought about whether Harvey might have a...@Ryan, I thought about whether Harvey might have a little bit of influence if he can convince folks that are already in his pocket to sit through the screenings, but 10 hours of film is a lot. Then again, maybe it's enough to at least pull off a nomination.NeverTooEarlyMPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06971628452385566511noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1361012654645694959.post-37060112530247698912011-12-11T17:22:07.588-08:002011-12-11T17:22:07.588-08:00I didn't even think about it that way, you are...I didn't even think about it that way, you are probably right that the Weinstein effect doesn't work in this category then.Ryan Fernandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11849610480857698067noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1361012654645694959.post-10248535255056273002011-12-11T07:02:13.188-08:002011-12-11T07:02:13.188-08:00Thanks Ryan! Undefeated is certainly a possibility...Thanks Ryan! Undefeated is certainly a possibility, but I wonder how much sway Harvey has over the documentary branch, and I think that the special rules where people actually have to see all of the films in order to vote may make it more difficult for him to have an impact. Although I hear that it's a really well done and moving piece, so maybe it will surprise after all!NeverTooEarlyMPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06971628452385566511noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1361012654645694959.post-37521462644893665932011-12-10T19:59:02.522-08:002011-12-10T19:59:02.522-08:00Great analysis. I think this year will stop the t...Great analysis. I think this year will stop the trend between NBR and Oscars. I think Paradise Lost 3 will get nominated. It has so much buzz because of the resolution of the case. However, I don't think it will win. Also, I think Undefeated can surprise. It has the Weinsteins backing it.Ryan Fernandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11849610480857698067noreply@blogger.com