Lots of new additions and changed rankings in the 84th Oscar Makeup race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Albert Nobbs (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 2)
3. Immortals (previous rank 3)
Alternates:
4. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 5)
5. The Iron Lady (previous rank 4)
6. Pirates Of The Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (previous rank 10)
7. X-Men: First Class (previous rank 6)
8. A Dangerous Method (New)
9. Hugo Cabret (New)
10. Captain America: The First Avenger (New)
11. The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 7)
12. My Week With Marilyn (New)
13. Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes (previous rank 8
14. Thor (New)
15. The Green Lantern (New)
16. The Eye Of The Storm (New)
17. Cowboys & Aliens (previous rank 9)
18. Contagion (New)
19. War Horse (New)
20. The Tree Of Life (New)
21. J. Edgar (New)
22. Super 8 (New)
23. Sherlock Holmes: A Game Of Shadows (New)
24. Red Riding Hood (New)
25. Jane Eyre (New)
26. Wuthering Heights (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Makeup predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into makeup, you might also like Art Direction and Costume Design.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
Tuesday, April 19, 2011
What I Saw: Hanna (84th Oscar Race)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
What I Saw: Hanna
Oscar Chances: As of today, this film’s best chances are in the original score department, if the Academy goes for this sort of composition:
Score: Tom Rowlands and Ed Simons as The Chemical Brothers (currently ranked 12)
Additionally, there are a few other categories where it might be a long shot:
Best Director: Joe Wright (currently ranked 44)
Lead Actress: Saoirse Ronan (currently ranked 36)
Film Editing: Paul Tothill (currently ranked 27)
Sound Editing (currently ranked 31)
Sound Mixing (currently ranked 31)
I have not ranked Cate Blanchett or Eric Bana for their supporting roles, nor am I currently predicting Hanna to be a factor in the original screenplay race.
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
What I Saw: Hanna
Oscar Chances: As of today, this film’s best chances are in the original score department, if the Academy goes for this sort of composition:
Score: Tom Rowlands and Ed Simons as The Chemical Brothers (currently ranked 12)
Additionally, there are a few other categories where it might be a long shot:
Best Director: Joe Wright (currently ranked 44)
Lead Actress: Saoirse Ronan (currently ranked 36)
Film Editing: Paul Tothill (currently ranked 27)
Sound Editing (currently ranked 31)
Sound Mixing (currently ranked 31)
I have not ranked Cate Blanchett or Eric Bana for their supporting roles, nor am I currently predicting Hanna to be a factor in the original screenplay race.
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
Thursday, April 14, 2011
Send Me Your Suggestions (Open Thread)
Today I updated predictions for several of the Genre categories (Animated Short, Live Action Short, Documentary Short, Documentary Feature and Foreign Language).
Use this open thread to tell me how you think I did in these races.
Or in any of the other categories or years I’ve predicted.
Or about ways I can improve this blog.
Or anything else you’d like to say. (Hey, that’s what an Open Thread is for!)
Use this open thread to tell me how you think I did in these races.
Or in any of the other categories or years I’ve predicted.
Or about ways I can improve this blog.
Or anything else you’d like to say. (Hey, that’s what an Open Thread is for!)
84th Oscar Foreign Language Updates (4/14/11)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
In researching the film festivals to predict the Shorts categories (see posts from earlier today), I discovered some Foreign Language Films to add to my list as well. Here is today’s attempt at predicting the 84th Oscar Foreign Language race (with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry).
1. The Skin That I Inhabit (La Piel Que Habito) (Spain) (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Nader And Simin, A Separation (Iran) (previous rank 2)
3. Chicken With Plums (France) (previous rank 6)
4. The Turin Horse (Hungary) (previous rank 7)
5. Grey Matter (Matiere Grise) (Rwanda) (previous rank 13)
Alternates:
6. RPG Metanoia (Philippines) (previous rank 24)
7. Tales Of The Night (Les Contes De La Nuit) (France) (previous rank 12)
8. The Kid With A Bike (Le Gamin Au Velo) (aka Set Me Free) (France) (previous rank 11)
9. We Have A Pope (Habemus Papam) (Italy) (previous rank 37)
10. The Conquest (La Conquete) (France) (New)
11. Cairo Exit (El Korough) (Egypt) (previous rank 8)
12. Happy Happy (Sykt Lykkelig) (Norway) (previous rank 19)
13. The Good Life (Det Gode Liv) (Denmark) (previous rank 23)
14. Restoration (Boker Tov Adon Fidelman) (Israel) (previous rank 27)
15. She Monkeys (Apflickorna) (Sweden) (previous rank 30)
16. Little White Lies (Les Petits Mouchoirs) (France) (New)
17. Circumstance (Iran) (New)
18. Viva Riva! (Congo) (New)
19. Free Men (Les Hommes Libres) (France) (New)
20. Sponsoring (Germany) (New)
21. Cinema Komunisto (Serbia) (New)
22. White White World (Beli Beli Svet) (Serbia) (previous rank 10)
23. Intimate Grammar (Hadikduk HaPnimi) (Israel) (previous rank 15)
24. Romantics Anonymous (Les Emotifs Anonymes) (Belgium) (previous rank 33)
25. Turn Me On, Goddammit (Fa Meg Pa, For Faen) (Norway) (previous rank 24)
26. Marathon Boy (India or United Kingdom) (New)
27. Attenberg (Greece) (New)
28. Code Blue (Netherlands) (New)
29. Farewell, My Queen (Les Adieux A La Reine) (France) (New)
30. The Kite (Panang) (India) (New)
31. The Sleeping Beauty (France) (New)
32. Beyond (Svinalanorna) (Sweden) (previous rank 9)
33. The Piano In A Factory (Gang De Qin) (China) (previous rank 14)
34. Artificial Paradises (Paraisos Artificiales) (Mexico) (previous rank 17
35. Flowers Of Evil (Fleurs Du Mal) (France) (previous rank 19)
36. The Journals Of Musan (Musan Il-Gi) (South Korea) (previous rank 20)
37. El Veldaor (Mexico) (previous rank 21)
38. L’Ordre Et La Morale (France) (previous rank 22)
39. My Last Round (Mi Ultimo Round) (Chile or Argentina) (previous rank 35)
40. Our School (Scoala Noastra) (Romania) (previous rank 36)
41. Black Ocean (Noir Ocean) (Belgium) (New)
42. Heading West (Rich Ting West) (Netherlands) (New)
43. Service Entrance (Women On The 6th Floor) (Les Femmes De 6eme Etage) (France) (New)
44. Quartet (Japan) (New)
45. The Destiny Of Lesser Animals (Ghana) (New)
46. Kinyarwanda (France) (previous rank 38)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Foreign Language predictions for other years HERE.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
In researching the film festivals to predict the Shorts categories (see posts from earlier today), I discovered some Foreign Language Films to add to my list as well. Here is today’s attempt at predicting the 84th Oscar Foreign Language race (with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry).
1. The Skin That I Inhabit (La Piel Que Habito) (Spain) (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Nader And Simin, A Separation (Iran) (previous rank 2)
3. Chicken With Plums (France) (previous rank 6)
4. The Turin Horse (Hungary) (previous rank 7)
5. Grey Matter (Matiere Grise) (Rwanda) (previous rank 13)
Alternates:
6. RPG Metanoia (Philippines) (previous rank 24)
7. Tales Of The Night (Les Contes De La Nuit) (France) (previous rank 12)
8. The Kid With A Bike (Le Gamin Au Velo) (aka Set Me Free) (France) (previous rank 11)
9. We Have A Pope (Habemus Papam) (Italy) (previous rank 37)
10. The Conquest (La Conquete) (France) (New)
11. Cairo Exit (El Korough) (Egypt) (previous rank 8)
12. Happy Happy (Sykt Lykkelig) (Norway) (previous rank 19)
13. The Good Life (Det Gode Liv) (Denmark) (previous rank 23)
14. Restoration (Boker Tov Adon Fidelman) (Israel) (previous rank 27)
15. She Monkeys (Apflickorna) (Sweden) (previous rank 30)
16. Little White Lies (Les Petits Mouchoirs) (France) (New)
17. Circumstance (Iran) (New)
18. Viva Riva! (Congo) (New)
19. Free Men (Les Hommes Libres) (France) (New)
20. Sponsoring (Germany) (New)
21. Cinema Komunisto (Serbia) (New)
22. White White World (Beli Beli Svet) (Serbia) (previous rank 10)
23. Intimate Grammar (Hadikduk HaPnimi) (Israel) (previous rank 15)
24. Romantics Anonymous (Les Emotifs Anonymes) (Belgium) (previous rank 33)
25. Turn Me On, Goddammit (Fa Meg Pa, For Faen) (Norway) (previous rank 24)
26. Marathon Boy (India or United Kingdom) (New)
27. Attenberg (Greece) (New)
28. Code Blue (Netherlands) (New)
29. Farewell, My Queen (Les Adieux A La Reine) (France) (New)
30. The Kite (Panang) (India) (New)
31. The Sleeping Beauty (France) (New)
32. Beyond (Svinalanorna) (Sweden) (previous rank 9)
33. The Piano In A Factory (Gang De Qin) (China) (previous rank 14)
34. Artificial Paradises (Paraisos Artificiales) (Mexico) (previous rank 17
35. Flowers Of Evil (Fleurs Du Mal) (France) (previous rank 19)
36. The Journals Of Musan (Musan Il-Gi) (South Korea) (previous rank 20)
37. El Veldaor (Mexico) (previous rank 21)
38. L’Ordre Et La Morale (France) (previous rank 22)
39. My Last Round (Mi Ultimo Round) (Chile or Argentina) (previous rank 35)
40. Our School (Scoala Noastra) (Romania) (previous rank 36)
41. Black Ocean (Noir Ocean) (Belgium) (New)
42. Heading West (Rich Ting West) (Netherlands) (New)
43. Service Entrance (Women On The 6th Floor) (Les Femmes De 6eme Etage) (France) (New)
44. Quartet (Japan) (New)
45. The Destiny Of Lesser Animals (Ghana) (New)
46. Kinyarwanda (France) (previous rank 38)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Foreign Language predictions for other years HERE.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
84th Oscar Documentary Feature Updates (4/14/11)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
In researching the film festivals to predict the Shorts categories (see last three posts), I inevitably found some feature documentaries to add to my list as well. Here is today’s attempt at predicting the 84th Oscar Documentary Feature race (with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry).
1. Cave Of Forgotten Dreams (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. How To Die In Oregon (previous rank 2)
3. Dragonslayer (previous rank 3)
4. The Interrupters (previous rank 4)
5. Life In A Day (previous rank 5)
Alternates:
6. Being Elmo: A Puppeteer’s Journey (previous rank 8)
7. Buck (previous rank 11)
8. Nostalgia For The Light (previous rank 6)
9. The Black Power Mixtape 1967-1975 (previous rank 7)
10. Page One: A Year Inside The New York Times (previous rank 10)
11. Project Nim (previous rank 22)
12. Fightville (previous rank 24)
13. If A Tree Falls: A Story Of the Earth Liberation Front (previous rank 9)
14. Armadillo (New)
15. The Ballas Of Genesis And Lady Jaye (previous rank 23)
16. The City Dark (previous rank 12)
17. Pom Wonderful Presents The Greatest Story Ever Sold (New)
18. Senna (previous rank 20)
19. Soul Food Junkies (Previous rank 21)
20. The Pipe (New)
21. Kati With An I (New)
22. Kumare (previous rank 14)
23. Black Gold (New)
24. Living In A Material World: George Harrison (previous rank 18)
25. Resurrect Dead: The Mystery Of The Toynbee Tiles (previous rank 19)
26. Incendiary: The Willingham Case (previous rank 25)
27. Better This World (previous rank 27)
28. Making The Boys (previous rank 32)
29. Bill Cunningham New York (New)
30. Hit So Hard (New)
31. Where Soldiers Come From (previous rank 15)
32. Koran By Heart (previous rank 17)
33. The Last Mountain (previous rank 26)
34. Bob And The Monster (previous rank 28)
35. The Last Lions (previous rank 29)
36. Cinema Komunisto (previous rank 31)
37. Our School (Scoala Noastra) (New)
38. Last Days Here (previous rank 33)
39. Long Way Home: The Loving Story (previous rank 34)
40. The King Of Luck (previous rank 35)
41. Undefeated (New)
42. Marathon Boy (New)
43. The Carrier (New)
44. A Good Man (New)
45. Hell And Back Again (New)
46. Love During Wartime (previous rank 13)
47. Jiro Dreams Of Sushi (previous rank 16)
48. Give Up Tomorrow (previous rank 30
49. The Rescuers: Heroes Of The Holocaust (New)
50. Bombay Beach (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary Feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into documentaries, check out the Documentary Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
In researching the film festivals to predict the Shorts categories (see last three posts), I inevitably found some feature documentaries to add to my list as well. Here is today’s attempt at predicting the 84th Oscar Documentary Feature race (with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry).
1. Cave Of Forgotten Dreams (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. How To Die In Oregon (previous rank 2)
3. Dragonslayer (previous rank 3)
4. The Interrupters (previous rank 4)
5. Life In A Day (previous rank 5)
Alternates:
6. Being Elmo: A Puppeteer’s Journey (previous rank 8)
7. Buck (previous rank 11)
8. Nostalgia For The Light (previous rank 6)
9. The Black Power Mixtape 1967-1975 (previous rank 7)
10. Page One: A Year Inside The New York Times (previous rank 10)
11. Project Nim (previous rank 22)
12. Fightville (previous rank 24)
13. If A Tree Falls: A Story Of the Earth Liberation Front (previous rank 9)
14. Armadillo (New)
15. The Ballas Of Genesis And Lady Jaye (previous rank 23)
16. The City Dark (previous rank 12)
17. Pom Wonderful Presents The Greatest Story Ever Sold (New)
18. Senna (previous rank 20)
19. Soul Food Junkies (Previous rank 21)
20. The Pipe (New)
21. Kati With An I (New)
22. Kumare (previous rank 14)
23. Black Gold (New)
24. Living In A Material World: George Harrison (previous rank 18)
25. Resurrect Dead: The Mystery Of The Toynbee Tiles (previous rank 19)
26. Incendiary: The Willingham Case (previous rank 25)
27. Better This World (previous rank 27)
28. Making The Boys (previous rank 32)
29. Bill Cunningham New York (New)
30. Hit So Hard (New)
31. Where Soldiers Come From (previous rank 15)
32. Koran By Heart (previous rank 17)
33. The Last Mountain (previous rank 26)
34. Bob And The Monster (previous rank 28)
35. The Last Lions (previous rank 29)
36. Cinema Komunisto (previous rank 31)
37. Our School (Scoala Noastra) (New)
38. Last Days Here (previous rank 33)
39. Long Way Home: The Loving Story (previous rank 34)
40. The King Of Luck (previous rank 35)
41. Undefeated (New)
42. Marathon Boy (New)
43. The Carrier (New)
44. A Good Man (New)
45. Hell And Back Again (New)
46. Love During Wartime (previous rank 13)
47. Jiro Dreams Of Sushi (previous rank 16)
48. Give Up Tomorrow (previous rank 30
49. The Rescuers: Heroes Of The Holocaust (New)
50. Bombay Beach (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary Feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into documentaries, check out the Documentary Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
84th Oscar Documentary Short Updates (4/14/11)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
Predicting the Documentary Shorts race requires a mix of strategies. Like the animated and live action shorts, documentary shorts aren’t seen by many people and don’t get much media buzz. But like the Documentary Feature category, they have special rules regarding qualifying dates (for the 84th Oscars it is Sept 1, 2010-Dec 31, 2011), and voting rules that include shortlists, preferential voting and required screenings.
My research in this category hasn’t been as extensive as some of the other ones. (I’ll work on that in the future). But for now, here is today’s attempt at predicting the 84th Oscar Documentary Short race (with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry).
1. Mothersbane (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Kawalek Lata (New)
3. Slaying The Dragon Reloaded: Asian Women In Hollywood And Beyond (New)
4. Save The Farm (New)
5. Maya Deren’s Sink (previously ranked 9 in the Live Action Short category)
Alternates:
6. Once Upon A Rooftop (New)
7. Fwd: Update On My Life (New)
8. Heirlooms (New)
9. The Unspoken (New)
10. Danny And Annie (New)
11. Kaffir Culture (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary Short predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into documentaries, you might also like the Documentary Features.
If you’re really into shorts, check out the Animated Shorts and Live Action Shorts.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
Predicting the Documentary Shorts race requires a mix of strategies. Like the animated and live action shorts, documentary shorts aren’t seen by many people and don’t get much media buzz. But like the Documentary Feature category, they have special rules regarding qualifying dates (for the 84th Oscars it is Sept 1, 2010-Dec 31, 2011), and voting rules that include shortlists, preferential voting and required screenings.
My research in this category hasn’t been as extensive as some of the other ones. (I’ll work on that in the future). But for now, here is today’s attempt at predicting the 84th Oscar Documentary Short race (with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry).
1. Mothersbane (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Kawalek Lata (New)
3. Slaying The Dragon Reloaded: Asian Women In Hollywood And Beyond (New)
4. Save The Farm (New)
5. Maya Deren’s Sink (previously ranked 9 in the Live Action Short category)
Alternates:
6. Once Upon A Rooftop (New)
7. Fwd: Update On My Life (New)
8. Heirlooms (New)
9. The Unspoken (New)
10. Danny And Annie (New)
11. Kaffir Culture (New)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Documentary Short predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into documentaries, you might also like the Documentary Features.
If you’re really into shorts, check out the Animated Shorts and Live Action Shorts.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
84th Oscar Animated Short Updates (4/14/11)
EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time. I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.
In my previous post, I talked about the unique challenges of predicting the Shorts categories. I won’t repeat that here, but will simply present today’s attempt at predicting the 84th Oscar Animated Short race with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Hawaiian Vacation (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. The Ballad Of Nessie (previous rank 2)
3. The Fantastic Flying Books Of Mr. Morris Lessmore (New)
4. External World (New)
5. The Eagleman Stag (New)
Alternates:
6. Pixels (New)
7. The Little Boy And The Beast (New)
8. Specky Four-Eyes (New)
9. La Bruxa (New)
10. Hand Soap (New)
11. Esterhazy (New)
12. Birdboy (New)
13. Babel (New)
14. Bottle (New)
15. Marcel The Shell With Shoes On (New)
16. Banking ON Mr. Toad (New)
17. Heirlooms (New)
18. Drained (previous rank 5)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Animated Short predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into animation, you might also like the Animated Features.
If you’re really into shorts, check out the Documentary Shorts and Live Action Shorts.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
In my previous post, I talked about the unique challenges of predicting the Shorts categories. I won’t repeat that here, but will simply present today’s attempt at predicting the 84th Oscar Animated Short race with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.
1. Hawaiian Vacation (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. The Ballad Of Nessie (previous rank 2)
3. The Fantastic Flying Books Of Mr. Morris Lessmore (New)
4. External World (New)
5. The Eagleman Stag (New)
Alternates:
6. Pixels (New)
7. The Little Boy And The Beast (New)
8. Specky Four-Eyes (New)
9. La Bruxa (New)
10. Hand Soap (New)
11. Esterhazy (New)
12. Birdboy (New)
13. Babel (New)
14. Bottle (New)
15. Marcel The Shell With Shoes On (New)
16. Banking ON Mr. Toad (New)
17. Heirlooms (New)
18. Drained (previous rank 5)
As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Animated Short predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into animation, you might also like the Animated Features.
If you’re really into shorts, check out the Documentary Shorts and Live Action Shorts.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th, 85th, 86th, 87th, 88th, 89th
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)