Thursday, May 29, 2014

87th Oscar Supporting Actor Updates (2014-2015 Awards Season) (5/29/2014)

There are still quite a few unknown factors in this year’s supporting actor race, chief among them being the possibilities for category placement (and category fraud) for some of the candidates.

Foxcatcher looks like it has the potential for competing runs from Mark Ruffalo and Channing Tatum. But before Channing pushes too hard for a win, I’d remind him of what Michael Caine told Tom Cruise in 2000: “If you had won this [supporting actor award], your price would have gone down so fast. Have you any idea what supporting actors get paid?”

Mark Ruffalo.jpgJosh Brolin.jpgEdward Norton.jpgJK Simmons.jpgChanning Tatum.jpeg

1. Mark Ruffalo in Foxcatcher (Predicted Winner)
2. Josh Brolin in Inherent Vice
3. Edward Norton in Birdman
4. J.K. Simmons in Whiplash
5. Channing Tatum in Foxcatcher

Neil Patrick Harris.jpgRobert Duvall.jpgMartin Sheen.jpgBenicio Del Toro.jpgChristoph Waltz.jpg

6. Neil Patrick Harris in Gone Girl
7. Robert Duvall in The Judge
8. Martin Sheen in Trash
9. Benicio Del Toro in Inherent Vice
10. Christoph Waltz in Big Eyes
11. Logan Lerman in Fury
12. Matthias Schoenaerts in Suite Francaise
13. Miyavi in Unbroken
14. Albert Brooks in A Most Violent Year
15. Johnny Depp in Into The Woods
16. Christopher Walken in Jersey Boys
17. James Franco in True Story
18. Philip Seymour Hoffman in A Most Wanted Man
19. Joaquin Phoenix in The Immigrant
20. Garrett Hedlund in Unbroken
21. Robert Pattinson in Queen Of The Desert
22. Corey Stoll in Dark Places
23. James Corden in Into The Woods
24. Paul Jesson in Mr. Turner
25. John Lithgow in Love Is Strange

Logan Lerman.JPGMatthias Schoenaerts.jpegMiyavi.jpgAlbert Brooks.jpgJohnny Depp.jpg

26. Gary Oldman in Child 44
27. Terence Stamp in Big Eyes
28. Domhnall Gleeson in Unbroken
29. Paul Dano in Love & Mercy
30. Colin Firth in Magic In The Moonlight
31. Colin Farrell in Miss Julie
32. Tony Revolori in The Grand Budapest Hotel
33. John Cusack in Maps To The Stars
34. Alfred Molina in Love Is Strange
35. Kyle Chandler in Carol
36. Tye Sheridan in Dark Places
37. Joel Edgerton in Exodus: Gods And Kings
38. Hiroyuki Sanada in The Railway Man
39. Paul Giamatti in Love & Mercy
40. Vincent Piazza in Jersey Boys
41. Jeremy Renner in The Immigrant
42. Ethan Hawke in Boyhood
43. Gary Oldman in Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes
44. John Lithgow in Cesar Chavez
45. Liev Schreiber in Pawn Sacrifice
46. Steve Buscemi in The Cobbler
47. Roger Ashton-Griffiths in Mr. Turner
48. Mike Doyle in Jersey Boys
49. James Franco in Queen Of The Desert
50. Robert Pattinson in Maps To The Stars

Christopher Walken.jpgJames Franco.jpgPhilip Seymour Hoffman.jpgJoaquin Phoenix.jpgGarrett Hedlund.jpg

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!    

Sunday, May 25, 2014

87th Oscar Supporting Actress Updates (2014-2015 Awards Season) (5/25/2014)

I find the supporting categories particularly difficult to predict in advance, especially for films that aren’t direct adaptations of previous work. But predict we must, so I’ll try my hand anyway. Some of these actresses also appear on my Lead Actress predictions, since it is often difficult to know who will have the bigger roles -- and more importantly, who will get the bigger campaigns.

For the moment I’m going with Emma Stone for the win, since she has three films out this year and could fit the mold of the “American Sweetheart” that Oscar often rewards. We’ll see how close I get when the nominations come out in January!

Emma Stone.jpgAnna Kendrick.jpgViola Davis.jpgJessica Chastain.jpgKristin Scott Thomas.jpg

1. Emma Stone in Birdman (Predicted Winner)
2. Anna Kendrick in Into The Woods
3. Viola Davis in Get On Up
4. Jessica Chastain in A Most Violent Year
5. Kristin Scott Thomas in Suite Francaise

Emily Blunt.jpgJulianne Moore.jpgKeira Knightley.jpgAnnette Bening.jpgMeryl Streep.jpg

6. Emily Blunt in Into The Woods
7. Julianne Moore in Maps To The Stars
8. Keira Knightley in The Imitation Game
9. Annette Bening in The Search
10. Meryl Streep in Suffragette
11. Rooney Mara in Carol
12. Laura Dern in Wild
13. Naomi Watts in St. Vincent De Van Nuys
14. Patricia Arquette in Boyhood
15. Marion Cotillard in Macbeth
16. Katherine Waterston in Inherent Vice
17. Rooney Mara in Trash
18. Marisa Tomei in Love Is Strange
19. Octavia Spencer in Get On Up
20. Felicity Jones in Theory Of Everything
21. Jacki Weaver in Magic In The Moonlight
22. Naomi Watts in Birdman
23. Judy Greer in Men, Women And Children
24. Krysten Ritter in Big Eyes
25. Vanessa Redgrave in Foxcatcher

Rooney Mara.jpegLaura Dern.jpgNaomi Watts.jpgPatricia Arquette.jpgMarion Cotillard.jpg

26. Shohreh Aghdashloo in Rosewater
27. Jena Malone in Inherent Vice
28. Helena Bonham Carter in Suffragette
29. Anika Noni Rose in Half Of A Yellow Sun
30. Marcia Gay Harden in Magic In The Moonlight
31. Lesley Manville in Mr. Turner
32. Nicole Kidman in The Railway Man
33. Samantha Morton in Miss Julie
34. America Ferrera in Cesar Chavez
35. Carrie Coon in Gone Girl
36. Meryl Streep in The Homesman
37. Noomi Rapace in Child 44
38. Reese Witherspoon in Inherent Vice
39. Jessica Chastain in Interstellar
40. Octavia Spencer in Black And White
41. Rosemary DeWitt in Kill The Messenger
42. Andrea Riseborough in Birdman
43. Sophie Okonedo in War Book
44. Anne Hathaway in Interstellar
45. Susan Sarandon in Tammy
46. Indira Varma in Exodus: Gods And Kings
47. Rosario Dawson in Cesar Chavez
48. Cate Blanchett in The Monuments Men
49. Emma Watson in Noah
50. Cameron Diaz in Annie

Katherine Waterston.jpgMarisa Tomei.jpgOctavia Spencer.jpegFelicity Jones.jpgJacki Weaver.jpg

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!

Thursday, May 22, 2014

87th Oscar Lead Actor Updates (2014-2015 Awards Season) (5/22/2014)

There are several younger actors with prestige films out this year, but I predict that Oscar will go for a lineup of veterans over the age of forty. The Academy loves to reward career actors who have paid their dues with a nomination, and Steve Carell, Michael Keaton and Timothy Spall certain fit the bill.

Personally, I’m hoping that part of Steve Carell’s acceptance speech includes something like: “Hey, an Oscar is much better than an Emmy!”.... Or perhaps a shout-out to Nicole Kidman for giving him the idea for the nose?

Steve Carell.jpgMichael Keaton.jpgTimothy Spall.jpgJoaquin Phoenix.jpgChristoph Waltz.jpg

1. Steve Carell in Foxcatcher (Predicted Winner)
2. Michael Keaton in Birdman
3. Timothy Spall in Mr. Turner
4. Joaquin Phoenix in Inherent Vice
5. Christoph Waltz in Big Eyes

Benedict Cumberbatch.jpgJack OConnell.jpgChadwick Boseman.jpgBen Affleck.jpgOscar Isaac.jpg

6. Benedict Cumberbatch in The Imitation Game
7. Jack O’Connell in Unbroken
8. Chadwick Boseman in Get On Up
9. Ben Affleck in Gone Girl
10. Oscar Isaac in A Most Violent Year
11. Bradley Cooper in American Sniper
12. Jeremy Renner in Kill The Messenger
13. Eddie Redmayne in Theory Of Everything
14. Michael Fassbender in Macbeth
15. Gael Garcia Bernal in Rosewater
16. Robert Downey Jr. in The Judge
17. Brad Pitt in Fury
18. Bradley Cooper in Deep Tiki (aka Untitled Cameron Crowe Project)
19. Ralph Fiennes in The Grand Budapest Hotel
20. Michael Peña in Cesar Chavez
21. Tommy Lee Jones in The Homesman
22. Tom Hardy in Locke
23. Matthew McConaughey in Interstellar
24. Channing Tatum in Foxcatcher
25. Ben Foster in Untitled Lance Armstrong Biopic

Bradley Cooper.jpgJeremy Renner.jpgEddie Redmayne.jpgMichael Fassbender.jpgGael Garcia Bernal.jpg

26. Christian Bale in Exodus: Gods And Kings
27. John Lithgow in Love Is Strange
28. James McAvoy in The Disappearance Of Eleanor Rigby
29. Brendan Gleeson in Calvary
30. Miles Teller in Whiplash
31. Bill Murray in St. Vincent De Van Nuys
32. John Lloyd Young in Jersey Boys
33. Gaspard Ulliel in Saint Laurent
34. Chiwetel Ejiofor in Half Of A Yellow Sun
35. Colin Firth in The Railway Man
36. Alfred Molina in Love Is Strange
37. Russell Crowe in Noah
38. George Clooney in The Monuments Men
39. Jon Hamm in Million Dollar Arm
40. Jesse Eisenberg in The Double
41. Jonah Hill in True Story
42. Al Pacino in Manglehorn
43. Philip Seymour Hoffman in A Most Wanted Man
44. Jude Law in Dom Hemingway
45. Bradley Cooper in Serena
46. Eltar Coltrane in Boyhood
47. Tom Hardy in Child 44
48. Tobey Maguire in Pawn Sacrifice
49. Christopher Plummer in Elsa & Fred
50. Jake Gyllenhaal in Nightcrawler

Robert Downey Jr.jpgBrad Pitt.jpgRalph Fiennes.jpgMichael Pena.jpgTommy Lee Jones.jpg

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!