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Wednesday, June 22, 2011

84th Oscar Original Score Updates (2011-2012 Awards Season) (6/22/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in June 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.   

Today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Original Score race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Howard Shore for Hugo Cabret (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Ludovic Bource for The Artist (New)
3. John Williams for War Horse (previous rank 10)
4. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 5)
5. Alexandre Desplat for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 6)

Alternates:
6. John Williams for The Adventures Of Tintin: Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 3)
7. Howard Shore for A Dangerous Method (previous rank 7)
8. Cliff Martinez for Contagion (previous rank 4)
9. Michael Giacchino for Super 8 (previous rank 14)
10. J. Edgar (previous rank 31)
11. Hans Zimmer for Rango (previous rank 11)
12. Dario Marianelli for Jane Eyre (previous rank 15)
13. Rachel Portman for Snow Flower And The Secret Fan (New)
14. Gustavo Santaoalla for On The Road (previous rank 8)
15. Alberto Iglesias for The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 16)
16. James Newton Howard for Water For Elephants (previous rank 13)
17. The Chemical Brothers (Tom Rowlands and Ed Simons) for Hanna (previous rank 12)
18. Michael Giacchino for Cars 2 (previous rank 25)
19. Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (New)
20. Alexandre Desplat for The Ides Of March (previous rank 29)
21. Hans Zimmer for Sherlock Holmes 2: A Game Of Shadows (previous rank 26)
22. Rachel Portman for One Day (previous rank 18)
23. Alberto Iglesias for Carnage (New)
24. Red Tails (New)
25. Mychael Danna for Moneyball (previous rank 20)
26. Alan Silvestri for Captain America: The First Avenger (previous rank 19)
27. Patrick Doyle for Thor (previous rank 22)
28. John Powell for Happy Feet 2 (previous rank 21)
29. Jonathan Goldsmith for Take This Waltz (previous rank 9)
30. Harry Gregson Williams for Cowboys & Aliens (previous rank 23)
31. Chris Bacon for Source Code (previous rank 17)
32. We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 28)
33. The Descendants (previous rank 30)
34. Bebo Valdes for Chico And Rita (New)
35. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 32)
36. Mervyn Warren for Joyful Noise (New)
37. My Week With Marilyn (previous rank 27)
38. Henry Jackman for Winnie The Pooh (New)
39. Abel Korzeniowski for W.E. (previous rank 36)
40. Hans Zimmer for Kung Fu Panda 2: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 24)
41. Ilan Eshkeri for Coriolanus (New)
42. Janny Greenwood for We Need To Talk About Kevin (New)
43. John Powell for Rio (New)
44. Mark Isham for Warrior (New)
45. David Byrne and Will Oldham for This Must Be The Place (New)
46. Paul Cantelon for The Music Never Stopped (New)
47. Trevor Morris for Immortals (previous rank 33)
48. Steve Jablonsky for Transformers 3: Dark Side Of The Moon (New)
49. The Iron Lady (previous rank 35)
50. Henry Jackman for Puss In Boots (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Score predictions for other years HERE.
Like words with your music? Check out the Original Song predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

84th Oscar Film Editing Updates (2011-2012 Awards Season) (6/21/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in June 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.   
 

Today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Film Editing race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Michael Kahn for War Horse (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 3)
2. Thelma Schoonamker for Hugo Cabret (previous rank 2)
3. Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 4)
4. Mark Day for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 5)
5. Anne-Sophie Bion for The Artist (New)

Alternates:
6. Stephen Mirrione for Contagion (previous rank 6)
7. Hank Corwin, Jay Rabinowitz, Daniel Rezende, Billy Weber and Mark Yoshikawa for The Tree Of Life (previous rank 1)
8. Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey for Super 8 (previous rank 13)
9. Stephen Mirrione for The Ides Of March (previous rank 7)
10. Christopher Tellefsen for Moneyball (previous rank 8)
11. Ronald Sanders for A Dangerous Method (previous rank 12)
12. Joel Cox and Gary Roach for J. Edgar (previous rank 15)
13. Claire Simpson for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (New)
14. Dino Jonsater for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 10)
15. Francois Gedigier for On The Road (previous rank 11)
16. Jose Salcedo for The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 9)
17. Michael Kahn for The Adventures Of Tintin: The Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 19)
18. Jay Rabinowitz for Rampart (previous rank 16)
19. Kevin Trent for The Descendants (previous rank 20)
20. Joe Hutshing and Mark Livolsi for We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 17)
21. Jay Rabinowitz for The Adjustment Bureau (previous rank 14)
22. The Iron Lady (Previous rank 18)
23. Roberta Dalva, Jeffrey Ford and Michael McCusker for Captain America: The First Avenger (previous rank 24)
24. Dana Glauberman for Young Adult (previous rank 26)
25. Mako Kamitsuna for Pariah (previous rank 21)
26. Paul Hirsch for Source Code (previous rank 22)
27. Lee Smith and Eddie Hamilton for X-Men: First Class (previous rank 23)
28. Hughes Winborne for The Help (New)
29. Paul Tothill for Hanna (previous rank 27)
30. Danny Tull for W.E. (previous rank 25)
31. Herve de Luze for Carnage (New)
32. Matthew Newman for Drive (New)
33. Molly M. Stensgaard and Morten Hojbjerg for Melancholia (New)
34. Dierdre Slevin for Snow Flower And The Secret Fan (New)
35. Nick Meyers for Sleeping Beauty (New)
36. William Hoy for Sucker Punch (previous rank 28)
37. Melanie Oliver for Jane Eyre (New)
38. Alisa Lepselter for Midnight In Paris (New)
39. Michael O’Halloran for Red Tails (New)
40. Nicolas Gaster for Coriolanus (New)
41. Dan Lebental and Jim May for Cowboys & Aliens (New)
42. Paul Hirsch for Mission Impossible Ghost Protocol (New)
43. Conrad Buff IV and Mark Goldblatt for Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes (New)
44. James Herbert for Sherlock Holmes: A Game Of Shadows (New)
45. David Brenner, Michael Kahn and Wyatt Smith for Pirates Of The Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (New)
46. Sean Albertson, Matt Chesse, John Gilroy and Aaron Marshall for Warrior (New)
47. Paul Rubell for Thor (New)
48. Alan Edward Bell for Water For Elephants (New)
49. Adam Recht for My Week With Marilyn (New)
50. In The Land Of Blood And Honey (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Film Editing predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into film editing, you might also like Cinematography and Visual Effects.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

84th Oscar Best Director Updates (2011-2012 Awards Season) (6/21/11)

Today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Best Director race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. David Cronenberg for A Dangerous Method (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 2)
2. George Clooney for The Ides Of March (previous rank 3)
3. Steven Spielberg for War Horse (previous rank 19)
4. Stephen Daldry for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 7)
5. Terrence Malick for The Tree Of Life (previous rank 1)

Alternates:
6. Phyllida Lloyd for The Iron Lady (previous rank 4)
7. Clint Eastwood for J. Edgar (previous rank 6)
8. David Fincher for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 9)
9. Martin Scorsese for Hugo Cabret (previous rank 8)
10. Alexander Payne for The Descendants (previous rank 21)
11. Steven Soderbergh for Contagion (previous rank 7)
12. Roman Polanski for Carnage (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 9)
13. David Yates for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 5)
14. Jason Reitman for Young Adult (previous rank 18)
15. Cameron Crowe for We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 17)
16. Walter Salles for On The Road (previous rank 15)
17. Rodrigo Garcia for Albert Nobbs (previous rank 23)
18. Pedro Almodovar for The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 11)
19. Kelly Reichardt for Meek’s Cutoff (previous rank 14)
20. Lynne Ramsay for We Need To Talk About Kevin (previous rank 24)
21. Steven Spielberg for The Adventures Of Tintin: The Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 20)
22. J.J. Abrams for Super 8 (previous rank 27)
23. Dee Rees for Pariah (previous rank 13)
24. Cary Fukunaga for Jaye Eyre (previous rank 22)
25. Qasim Basir for Mooz-lum (previous rank 10)
26. Lone Scherfig for One Day (previous rank 32)
27. Woody Allen for Midnight In Paris (previous rank 26)
28. Drake Doremus for Like Crazy (previous rank 25)
29. Anthony Hemingway for Red Tails (previous rank 16)
30. Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist (New)
31. Lars von Trier for Melancholia (previous rank 12)
32. Ralph Feinnes for Coriolanus (previous rank 36)
33. Simon Curtis for My Week With Marilyn (previous rank 37)
34. Geoffrey Fletcher for Violet And Daisy (previous rank 30)
35. Angelina Jolie for In The Land Of Blood And Honey (previous rank 31)
36. Ava DuVernay for I Will Follow (previous rank 28)
37. Tomas Alfredson for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 43)
38. Abbas Kiarostami for Certified Copy (previous rank 29)
39. Nicolas Winding Refn for Drive (New)
40. Bruce Robinson for The Rum Diary (previous rank 42)
41. Tate Taylor for The Help (previous rank 38)
42. Victoria Mahoney for Yelling To The Sky (previous rank 33)
43. Julia Leigh for Sleeping Beauty (New)
44. Bennett Miller for Moneyball (New)
45. Juan Antonio Bayona for The Impossible (previous rank 34)
46. Liza Johnson for Return (previous rank 35)
47. Rashaad Ernesto Green for Gun Hill Road (previous rank 39)
48. Steve McQueen for Shame (New)
49. Oren Moverman for Rampart (New)
50. Wayne Wang for Snow Flower And The Secret Fan (New)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Best Director predictions for other years HERE.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

84th Oscar Original Song Updates (2011-2012 Awards Season) (6/7/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in June 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

The song category is always a particularly difficult one to predict, but it’s “never too early” to try anyway! The award for best song goes to the writer of the song, but where I haven’t been able to find that information I have used the performer or score composer from the movie to help make my predictions. Here are today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Original Song race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Mary J. Blige for “The Living Proof” from The Help (Predicted Winner) (New)
2. Queen Latifah and Dolly Parton for Joyful Noise (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 1)
3. The Muppets (previous rank 2)
4. Zooey Deschanel for “So Long” from Winnie The Pooh (previous rank 3)
5. Jordin Sparks for “The World I Knew” from African Cats (previous rank 5)

Alternates:
6. John Williams for The Adventures Of Tintin: Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 4)
7. J. Ralph for “Hell And Back” from Hell And Back Again (New)
8. Nicole Beharie for My Last Day Without You (New)
9. Jonathan Goldsmith for Take This Waltz (previous rank 1)
10. David Byrne and Will Oldham for This Must Be The Place (New)
11. John Powell for Happy Feet 2 (previous rank 7)
12. John Williams for War Horse (previous rank 9)
13. Michael Giacchino for Cars 2 (previous rank 10)
14. John Powell for Rio (previous rank 6)
15. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 11)
16. Hans Zimmer and John Powell for Kung Fu Panda: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 13)
17. Bebo Valdes for Chico And Rita (previous rank 12)
18. Ludovic Bource for The Artist (New)
19. Ludacris for Fast Five (New)
20. Alexandre Desplat for The Tree Of Life (previous rank 8)
21. Abel Korzeniowski for W.E. (previous rank 15)
22. Hans Zimmer for Rango (previous rank 16)
23. Alvin And The Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked (previous rank 14)
24. Paul Cantelon for The Music Never Stopped (previous rank 17)
25. James Newton Howard for Water For Elephants (previous rank 22)
26. Thom for Pina (previous rank 18)
27. Pia Briccocola for The Puppet Queen: The Creative Path (previous rank 19)
28. Milo Coello for Journey To Mt. Fuji (previous rank 21)
29. Rachel Portman for Snow Flower And The Secret Fan (New)
30. Steve Jablonsky for Transformers 3: Dark Side Of The Moon (previous rank 28)
31. Robert Folk for Vivaldi (previous rank 23)
32. Jonny Greenwood for We Need To Talk About Kevin (previous rank 24)
33. We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 25)
34. Ohad Benchetrit for Daydream Nation (previous rank 26)
35. Carter Burwell for The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 (previous rank 27)
36. The Chemical Brothers (Tom Rowlands and Ed Simons) for Hanna (previous rank 30)
37. Elvis Costello for “Sparkling Day” from One Day (previous rank 31)
38. Alexandre Desplat for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 34)
39. Gustavo Santaoalla for On The Road (previous rank 32)
40. Alan Silvestri for Captain America: The First Avenger (previous rank 33)
41. Dario Marianelli for Jane Eyre (previous rank 35)
42. Alberto Iglesias for The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 36)
43. Chris Bacon for Source Code (previous rank 37)
44. Cliff Martinez for Contagion (previous rank 38)
45. Elton John and Stephani Germonatta for “Hello, Hello” from Gnomeo And Juliet (New)
46. Howard Shore for Hugo Cabret (previous rank 42)
47. Patrick McCormack for “Ovenbird” from Newlyweds (New)
48. Mumford And Sons for Enemy from Wuthering Heights (New)
49. Howard Shore for A Dangerous Method (previous rank 41)
50. Gary Gregson Williams for Cowboys & Aliens (previous rank 39)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

Monday, June 6, 2011

84th Oscar Lead Actress Updates (2011-2012 Awards Season) (6/6/11)

A fair amount of movement in the 84th Oscar Lead Actress race, not only from Cannes, but also from films that have opened without much buzz, some release date changes, and a better idea of which actresses are lead and supporting in a few films. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Glenn Close in Albert Nobbs (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady (previous rank 2)
3. Elizabeth Olsen in Martha Marcy May Marlene (previous rank 4)
4. Michelle Williams in My Week With Marilyn (previous rank 6)
5. Michelle Yeoh in The Lady (previous rank 5)

Alternates:
6. Tilda Swinton in We Need To Talk About Kevin (previous rank 9)
7. Charlize Theron in Young Adult (previous rank 7)
8. Taraji P. Henson in From The Rough (previous rank 3)
9. Rooney Mara in The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 6)
10. Jodie Foster for Carnage (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 8)
11. Sandra Bullock for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (if released and campaigned as lead) (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 24)
12. Keira Knightley in A Dangerous Method (if campaigned as lead) (previously listed as supporting, rank 3)
13. Adepero Oduye in Pariah (previous rank 10)
14. Kirsten Dunst in Melancholia (previous rank 13)
15. Felicity Jones in Like Crazy (previous rank 11)
16. Emma Stone in The Help (previous rank 12)
17. Rachel Weisz in The Whistleblower (previous rank 15)
18. Gianna Jun (Jun Ji-hyun) in Snow Flower And The Secret Fan (New)
19. Bing Bing Li in Snow Flower And The Secret Fan (New)
20. Anne Hathaway in One Day (previous rank 17)
21. Helen Mirren in The Door (previous rank 22)
22. Jennifer Hudson in Winnie (previous rank 23)
23. Rachel Weisz in The Deep Blue Sea (previous rank 35)
24. Zoe Kravitz in Yelling To The Sky (previous rank 20)
25. Julianne Moore in Crazy Stupid Love (previous rank 31)
26. Kate Winslet in Carnage (if campaigned as lead) (previously listed in 85Th Oscar supporting category, rank 7)
27. Zoe Saldana in Colombiana (previous rank 25)
28. Mia Wasikowska in Jane Eyre (previous rank 29)
29. Linda Cardellini in Return (previous rank 28)
30. Juliette Binoche in Certified Copy (previous rank 30)
31. Salli Richardson-Whitfield in I Will Follow (previous rank 14)
32. Michelle Williams in Meek’s Cutoff (previous rank 27)
33. Saoirse Ronan in Hanna (previous rank 36)
34. Nicole Beharie in Shame (previously listed as supporting, rank 11)
35. Daniela Ruah in Red Tails (previous rank 19)
36. Julia Roberts in Larry Crowne (previous rank 41)
37. Kate Hudson in Big Eyes (previous rank 18)
38. Michelle Williams in Take This Waltz (previous rank 48)
39. Elena Anaya in The Skin That I Inhabit (New)
40. Chloe Moretz in Hugo Cabret (previous rank 37)
41. Rachel McAdams in Midnight In Paris (previous rank 33)
42. Zana Marjanovic in In The Land Of Blood And Honey (previous rank 40)
43. Emily Browning in Sleeping Beauty (New)
44. Loretta Devine in The Discarded Boys (previous rank 16)
45. Maria Bello in Beautiful Boy (New)
46. Kristen Wiig in Bridesmaids (New)
47. Queen Latifah in Joyful Noise (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 14)
48. Kathleen Turner in The Perfect Family (New)
49. Berenice Bejo in The Artist (New)
50. Angela Bassett in Jumping The Broom (previous rank 32)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Lead Actress predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Lead Actor, Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

What I Saw: X-Men: First Class (84th Oscar Race)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in June 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

What I Saw: X-Men: First Class



Oscar Chances:

Visual Effects (currently ranked 6)
Makeup (currently ranked 7)
Sound Editing (currently ranked 9)
Sound Mixing (currently ranked 14)
Costume Design: Sammy Sheldon (currently ranked 16)
Film Editing: Lee Smith and Eddie Hamilton (currently ranked 23)
Cinematography: John Mathieson (currently ranked 24)
Art Direction: Chris Seagers, Erin Boyd and Sonja Klaus (currently unranked, watch for possible future entries)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!

Read more of my reviews HERE.