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Thursday, April 28, 2011

Send Me Your Suggestions (Open Thread)

I like to leave an open thread up every once in a while to give all my readers a chance to weigh in.

Use this open thread to tell me how you think I'm doing in the various races, what categories you think I’m most accurate in, what films I should be paying more attention to, ways I can improve this blog, or anything else you’d like to say. (Hey, that’s what an Open Thread is for!)

87th Oscar Original Song Updates (4/28/11)

Here are today’s rankings for the 87th Oscar Original Song race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. In The Heights (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Sparkle (previous rank 2)
3. Curly Oxide And Vic Thrill (previous rank 3)
4. The Long Play (previous rank 4)
5. Monkeys Of Bollywood (New)

Alternates:
6. Sexual Healing (New)
7. Jesus Christ Superstar (previous rank 5)
8. Jersey Boys (previous rank 6)
9. Untitled Theater Camp Project (New)
10. The Best Little Whorehouse In Texas (New)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 87th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

86th Oscar Original Song Updates (4/28/11)

Here are today’s rankings for the 86th Oscar Original Song race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. The Color Purple (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Monsters University (New)
3. The Goree Girls (previous rank 2)
4. Annie (previous rank 3)
5. Carousel (previous rank 4)

Alternates:
6. Untitled Tupac Shakur Project (New)
7. Les Miserables (previous rank 5)
8. Bombay Dreams (previous rank 8)
9. Dalida (previous rank 9)
10. American idiot (previous rank 6)
11. Another Brick In The Wall (previous rank 7)
12. Frank Or Francis (previous rank 10)
13. Bigger Than Jesus (previous rank 11)
14. Bob: The Musical (previous rank 12)
15. Schoolboys In Disgrace (New)
16. Three Faces Of Elvie (New)
17. A Christmas Musical (New)
18. Dusty (New)
19. The Dirt (New)
20. Allen Rock Bank (New)
21. South Pacific (New)
22. Untitled Jeff Buckley Biopic (New)
23. Untitled Miles Davis Biopic (New)
24. Untitled Bob Marley Project (New)
25. Untitled Beach Boys Project (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 86th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

85th Oscar Original Song Updates (4/28/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

Brand new updates for the 85th Oscar Original Song race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Mervyn Warren for Joyful Noise (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Patrick Doyle for Brave (New)
3. Lenny Kravitz for Selma (New)
4. Rock Of Ages (New)
5. A.R. Rahman for Paani (New)

Alternates:
6. Quartet (previously ranked 8 in the 84th oscar race)
7. Wicked (New)
8. Howard Shore for The Hobbit Part 1 (New)
9. The Suicide Shop (Le Magasin Des Suicides) (New)
10. Low Down (New)
11. Sidney Sharp for Le Grand Jete (New)
12. Alberto Iglesias for Minao (New)
13. A Star Is Born (New)
14. Cleo (New)
15. Nina (New)
16. Janis Joplin: Get It While You Can (New)
17. Down Under (New)
18. Nishat Khan for Four Weddings And A Shaadi (New)
19. Summer Of Dreams (New)
20. City Of Paradise (New)
21. When The Music Is Over (New)
22. Step Up 4 (New)
23. Fraggle Rock (New)
24. Another Brick In The Wall (New)
25. Damn Yankees (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

84th Oscar Original Song Updates (4/28/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

Lots of new additions and changed rankings in the 84th Original Song race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Jonathan Goldsmith for Take This Waltz (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. The Muppets (previous rank 5)
3. Henry Jackman for Winnie The Pooh (New)
4. John Williams for The Adventures Of Tintin: Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 3)
5. Jordin Sparks “The World I Knew” from African Cats (New)

Alternates:
6. John Powell for Rio (New)
7. John Powell for Happy Feet 2 (New)
8. Alexandre Desplat for The Tree Of Life (New)
9. John Williams for War Horse (New)
10. Michael Giacchino for Cars 2 (previous rank 6)
11. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (New)
12. Bebo Valdes for Chico And Rita (New)
13. Hans Zimmer and John Powell for Kung Fu Panda: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 10)
14. Alvin And The Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked (New)
15. W.E. (previous rank 2)
16. Hans Zimmer for Rango (previous rank 7)
17. Paul Cantelon for The Music Never Stopped (previous rank 9)
18. Thom for Pina (New)
19. Pia Briccocola for The Puppet Queen: The Creative Path (New)
20. City Of Angels (New)
21. Milo Coello for Journey To Mt. Fuji (New)
22. James Newton Howard for Water For Elephants (New)
23. Robert Folk for Vivaldi (New)
24. Jonny Greenwood for We Need To Talk About Kevin (New)
25. We Bought A Zoo (New)
26. Ohad Benchetrit for Daydream Nation (New)
27. Carter Burwell for The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 (New)
28. Steve Jablonsky for Transformers 3: Dark Side Of The Moon (New)
29. Christophe Becke for The Hangover 2 (New)
30. Tom Rowlands and Ed Simons (The Chemical Brothers) for Hanna (New)
31. Rachel Portman for One Day (New)
32. Gustavo Santaoalla for On The Road (New)
33. Alan Silvestri for Captain America: The First Avenger (New)
34. Alexandre Desplat for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (New)
35. Dario Marianelli for Jane Eyre (New)
36. Alberto Iglesias for The Skin That I Inhabit (New)
37. Chris Bacon for Source Code (New)
38. Cliff Martinez for Contagion (New)
39. Garry Gregson Williams for Cowboys & Aliens (New)
40. Hans Zimmer for Sherlock Holmes 2: A Game Of Shadows (New)
41. Howard Shore for A Dangerous Method (New)
42. Howard Shore for Hugo Cabret (New)
43. Michael Giacchino for Super 8 (New)
44. Mychael Danna for Moneyball (New)
45. Patrick Doyle for Thor (New)
46. The Ides Of March (New)
47. J. Edgar (New)
48. My Week With Marilyn (New)
49. The Descendants (New)
50. Immortals (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Song predictions for other years HERE.
If you love music, you might also want to check out the Original Score predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

84th Oscar Animated Feature Updates (4/27/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.  

I have updated the rankings for the 84th Oscar Animated Feature race, trying to take into account what I know about release dates and special rules regarding motion capture and hybrid live action films. If anyone has any additional information about these, or information about animated features being released in other languages or countries, I’d love to hear about them!

Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Gore Verbinski for Rango (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Antoine Delesvaux and Joann Sfar for The Rabbi’s Cat (Le Chat Du Rabbin) (previous rank 2)
3. Tono Errando, Javier Mariscal and Fernando Trueba for Chico & Rita (previous rank 3)
4. Carlos Saldanha for Rio (previous rank 4)
5. Stephen J. Anderson and Don Hall for Winnie The Pooh (previous rank 5)

Alternates:
6. Antoine Charreyron for The Prodigies (La Nuit Des Enfants Rois) (previous rank 7)
7. Jennifer Yuh for Kung Fu Panda 2: The Kaboom Of Doom (previous rank 8)
8. Yoshimi Itazu and Satoshi Kon for The Dreaming Machine (Yomemiru Kikai) (previous rank 9)
9. John Lasseter and Brad Lewis for Cars 2 (previous rank 10)
10. Jonathan Demme for Zeitoun (previous rank 11)
11. Jacques-Remy Girerd for Mia And The Migoo (Mia Et Le Migou) (New)
12. Michel Ocelot for Tales Of The Night (Les Contes De La Nuit) (previous rank 12)
13. George Miller for Happy Feet 2 (previous rank 13)
14. Chris Miller for Puss In Boots (previous rank 14)
15. Deryck Broom and Roger Hawkins for The Lion Of Judah (New)
16. Ben Stassen for Sammy’s Adventures: A Turtle’s Tale (Sammy’s Avonturen: De Geheime Doorgang) (New)
17. Mike Disa for Hoodwinked Too!: Hood Vs. Evil (previous rank 16)
18. Sarah Smith and Barry Cook for Arthur Christmas (previous rank 18)
19. Mike Mitchell for Alvin And The Chipmunks 3: Chip-Wrecked (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 19)
20. Kelly Asbury for Gnomeo And Juliet (previous rank 22)
21. Richard Goldgewicht for Pablo (New)
22. Robert Rhodin for 1000 Nights (New)
23. Bruce Beresford for Banking On Mr. Toad (New)
24. Bibo Bergeron for A Monster In Paris (Un Monstre A Paris) (New)
25. David Fincher for The Goon (previous rank 15)
26. Tinkerbell (previous rank 20)
27. Luis C. Suarez for RPG Metanoia (previous rank 17)
28. Simon Wells for Mars Needs Moms (possibly ineligible due to Motion Capture) (previous rank 21)
29. Tim Hill for Hop (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 23)
30. Raja Gosnell for The Smurfs (possibly ineligible due to Hybrid Live Action) (previous rank 24)
31. Steven Sielberg for The Adventures Of Tintin (Likely Ineligible due to Motion Capture) (previous rank 6)
32. Sam Liu and Lauren Montgomery for Batman: Year One (Likely Ineligible due to Release Format) (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Animated Feature predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re really into animation, check out the Animated Shorts also.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

What I Saw: Water For Elephants (84th Oscar Race)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

What I Saw: Water For Elephants

Oscar Chances:

Having seen the film I think that it’s best chances are in these categories:

Art Direction: Jack Fisk and Jim Erickson (currently ranked 7)
Costume Design: Jacqueline West (currently ranked 12)
Cinematography: Rodrigo Prieto (currently ranked 15)

There are also long shot possibilities in these categories:

Score: James Newton Howard (currently ranked 13)
Adapted Screenplay: Richard La Gravenese (currently ranked 29)
Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz (currently ranked 25)
Lead Actress: Reese Witherspoon (currently ranked 34)
Best Picture: (currently ranked 39)
Best Director: Frances Lawrence (currently ranked 46)

It is possible that Hal Holbrook (Supporting Actor) will appear in my next update for that category. I currently not predicting Oscar consideration for Robert Pattinson (Lead Actor).

Read more of my reviews HERE.

84th Oscar Costume Design Updates (4/26/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

Updated rankings in the 84th Oscar Costume Design race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Michael O’Connor for Jane Eyre (previous rank 1)
2. Sandy Powell for Hugo Cabret (previous rank 5)
3. Denise Cronenberg for A Dangerous Method (previous rank 4)
4. Jill Taylor for My Week With Marilyn (previous rank 3)
5. Joanna Jonston for War Horse (previous rank 6)

Alternates:
6. Pierre-Yves Gayraud for Albert Nobbs (previous rank 2)
7. Elko Ishioka and Simonetta Mariano for Immortals (previous rank 7)
8. Jacqueline Durran for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 8)
9. Sharen Davis for The Help (previous rank 9)
10. Victoria Farrell for Meek’s Cutoff (previous rank 10)
11. Consolata Boyle for The Lady (previous rank 11)
12. Jacqueline West for Water For Elephants (New)
13. Georgina Gunner for Wuthering Heights (previous rank 12)
14. Rosie Grant for Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (previous rank 13)
15. Sammy Sheldon for X-Men: First Class (previous rank 15)
16. Marisa Toyas and Oona Van Jaarsveld for Winnie (previous rank 14)
17. Deborah Hopper for J. Edgar (New)
18. Kasia Walicka-Maimone for The Adjustment Bureau (previous rank 16)
19. Jeffrey Kurland and Anna B. Sheppard for Captain America: The First Avenger (New)
20. Jenny Beavan for Sherlock Holmes 2: A Game Of Shadows (New)
21. Arianna Phillips for W.E. (New)
22. Consolata Boyle for The Iron Lady (New)
23. Louise Frogley for The Conspirator (New)
24. Danny Glicker for On The Road (New)
25. Jacqueline West for The Tree Of Life (New)
26. Colleen Atwood for The Rum Diary (New)
27. Mary Zophres for Cowboys & Aliens (New)
28. Pierre-Yves Gayraud for The Three Musketeers (New)
29. Alexandra Byrne for Thor (New)
30. Jany Temime for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (New)
31. Bojana Nikitovic for Coriolanus (New)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Costume Design predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into costumes, you might also like Art Direction and Makeup.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

Monday, April 25, 2011

84th Oscar Art Direction Updates (4/25/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

New additions and changed rankings in the 84th Art Direction race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Jack Fisk and Jeanette Scott for The Tree Of Life (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Stuart Craig And Stephanie McMillan for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part II (previous rank 2)
3. Dante Feretti, Dorothee Baussan and Francesca Lo Schiavo for Hugo Cabret (previous rank 3)
4. James McAteer and Gernot Thondel for A Dangerous Method (previous rank 5)
5. Rick Carter and Lee Sandales for War Horse (previous rank 9)

Alternates:
6. James J. Murakami and Gary Fettis for J. Edgar (previous rank 7)
7. Jack Fisk and Jim Erickson for Water For Elephants (previous rank 6)
8. Sharon Seymour and Maggie Martin for The Ides Of March (previous rank 4)
9. Sarah Greenwood, Alison Harvey and Katie Spencer for Sherlock Holmes 2: A Game Of Shadows (previous rank 11)
10. Wil Hughes-Jones and Tina Jones for Jane Eyre (previous rank 10)
11. Scott Chambliss and Karen Manthey for Cowboys & Aliens (previous rank 8)
12. John Myhre and Gordon Sim for Pirates Of The Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (New)
13. Tom Foden for Immortals (previous rank 12)
14. Carlos Conti for Francine Danis for On The Road (previous rank 13)
15. Susie Cullen and Jenny Oman for Albert Nobbs (previous rank 14)
16. Rick Heinrichs and John Bush for Captain America: The First Avenger (New)
17. Martin Whist and Fainche MacCarthy for Super 8 (New)
18. Bo Welch and Lauri Gaffin for Thor (New)
19. Simon Elliott and Annie Gilhooly for The Iron Lady (previous rank 15)
20. Kevin Thompson and Susan Bode Tyson for The Adjustment Bureau (previous rank 16)
21. Clay A. Griffith and Wayne Shepherd for We Bought A Zoo (New)
22. Mark Ricker and Rena DeAngelo for The Help (New)
23. Howard Cummings and Cindy Carr for Contagion (New)
24. Donald Graham Burt and K.C. Fox for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (New)
25. Jake Anne Stewart and Matt Callahan for The Descendants (New)
26. Kalina Ivanov and Melissa Levander for The Conspirator (New)
27. Martin Childs for W.E. (New)
28. Maria Djurkovic for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (New)
29. Helen Scott and Alice Norris for Wuthering Heights (New)
30. Ricky Eyres and Lee Gordon for Coriolanus (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Art Direction predictions for other years HERE.
If you’re into art, you might also like Costume Design and Makeup.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

84th Oscar Adapted Screenplay Updates (4/25/11)

New additions and changed rankings in the 84th Oscar Adapted Screenplay race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Glenn Close and John Banville for Albert Nobbs (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Christopher Hampton for A Dangerous Method (previous rank 2)
3. Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian for Moneyball (previous rank 3)
4. Pedro Almodovar for The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 4)
5. George Clooney and Grant Heslov for The Ides of March (previous rank 5)

Alternates:
6. Jose Rivera for On The Road (previous rank 7)
7. Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash for The Descendants (previous rank 11)
8. Lynne Ramsay and Rory Kinnear for We Need To Talk About Kevin (previous rank 6)
9. Bright O’Connor and Peter Straughaun for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 13)
10. John Logan for Hugo Cabret (previous rank 10)
11. Richard Curtis and Lee Hall for War Horse (previous rank 12)
12. Tate Taylor for The Help (previous rank 9)
13. Moira Buffini for Jane Eyre (previous rank 8)
14. David Nicholls for One Day (New)
15. Steven Zaillian for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 14)
16. Cameron Crowe and Aline Brosh McKenna for We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 17)
17. Blenn Ficarra and John Requa for Crazy Stupid Love (New)
18. Bruce Robinson for The Rum Diary (previous rank 15)
19. Steven Moffat, Edgar Wright and Joe Vornish for The Adventures Of Tintin: Secret Of the Unicorn (previous rank 16)
20. Adrian Hodges for My Week With Marilyn (previous rank 19)
21. Steven Kloves for Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2. (previous rank 18)
22. Dee Rees for Pariah (New)
23. John Logan for Coriolanus (New)
24. Ol Parker for The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (New)
25. Dan Fogelman, John Lasseter, Brad Lewis and Ben McQueen for Cars 2 (New)
26. Andrea Arnold for Wuthering Heights (New)
27. Jean-Jacques Annaud and Menno Meyjes for Black Gold (New)
28. Geoffrey Fletcher for Violet And Daisy (New)
29. Richard La Gravenese for Water For Elephants (New)
30. Simon Beaufoy for Salmon Fishing In The Yemen (New)
31. Judy Morris for The Eye Of The Storm (New)
32. Rula Jebreal for Miral (New)
33. Michael Thomas for The Devil’s Double (New)
34. William Monoghan for London Boulevaard (New)
35. Rod Lurie, David Zelga Goodman and Sam Peckinpah for Straw Dogs (New)
36. George Nolfi for The Adjustment Bureau (New)
37. Daniel Adams for The Big Valley (New)
38. Terence Davies for The Deep Blude Sea (New)
39. Jason Segel and Nicholas Stoller for The Muppets (New)
40. Gwyn Lurie and Gary Marks for The Music Never Stopped (New)
41. Francis Ford Coppola for Twixt Now And Sunrise (New)
42. Daniel Pyne for Zeitoun (New)
43. Catherine Trieschmann for Angels Crest (New)
44. Rowan Joffe for Brighton Rock (New)
45. Madeleine L’Engle and Cornelia Moore for Camilla Dickinson (New)
46. George Miller for Happy Feet 2 (New)
47. Ryan Redford for Oliver Sherman (New)
48. John Romano for The Lincoln Lawyer (New)
49. Craig Mazin, Scott Armstrong and Todd Phillips for The Hangover Part 2 (New)
50. Jon Hurwitz and Hayden Schlossberg for A Very Harold And Kumar Christmas (previous rank 20)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Adapted Screenplay predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Original Screenplay predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

84th Oscar Best Picture Updates (4/25/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

I’ve updated the rankings for the 84th Best Picture race. One change that I will be incorporating into this and future predictions is that movies with release dates that are in question (like J. Edgar, Carnage and Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close) will be listed in the rankings for both years. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. The Tree Of Life (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 2)
2. A Dangerous Method (previous rank 3)
3. The Ides Of March (previous rank 4)
4. J. Edgar (previous rank 5)
5. Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 (previous rank 1)
6. Contagion (previous rank 7)
7. The Iron Lady (previous rank 6)
8. Like Crazy (previous rank 8)
9. War Horse (previous rank 18)
10. Hugo Cabret (previous rank10)

Alternates:
11. Midnight In Paris (previous rank 9)
12. The Skin That I Inhabit (previous rank 11)
13. Mooz-lum (previous rank 12)
14. The Descendants (previous rank 17)
15. Red Tails (previous rank 14)
16. Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (previously rank 6 in 85th Oscar race)
17. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (previous rank 16)
18. On The Road (previous rank 13)
19. The Help (previous rank 15)
20. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 19)
21. We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 21)
22. Carnage (previous rank 14 in 85th Oscar race)
23. My Week With Marilyn (previous rank 20)
24. Pariah (previous rank 25)
25. Young Adult (previous rank 30)
26. Moneyball (previous rank 33)
27. Super 8 (previous rank 34)
28. Martha Marcy May Marlene (previous rank 23)
29. The Adventures Of Tintin: The Secret Of The Unicorn (previous rank 22)
30. I Will Follow (previous rank 28)
31. Jane Eyre (previous rank 31)
32. Albert Nobbs (previous rank 24)
33. The Conspirator (previous rank 29)
34. We Need To Talk About Kevin (previous rank 35)
35. Win Win (previous rank 36)
36. Meek’s Cutoff (previous rank 37)
37. Melancholia (previous rank 42)
38. Rango (previous rank 27)
39. Water For Elephants (previous rank 26)
40. One Day (New)
41. The Rum Diary (previous rank 41)
42. Coriolanus (previous rank 43)
43. Beginners (previous rank 38)
44. Shame (previous rank 44)
45. Take Shelter (previous rank 40)
46. Rampart (New)
47. Black Gold (previous rank 32)
48. Untitled Bosnian War Love Story (previous rank 39)
49. Violet And Daisy (previous rank 45)
50. Oranges And Sunshine (previous rank 48)

Falling off the charts: Certified Copy, The Eye Of The Storm, Source Code, The Adjustment Bureau)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Best Picture predictions for other years HERE.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

Saturday, April 23, 2011

84th Oscar Original Screenplay Updates (4/23/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

Updated rankings for the 84th Oscar Original Screenplay race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Abi Morgan and Michael Hurst for The Iron Lady (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Dustin Lance Black for J. Edgar (prevous rank 2)
3. Scott Z. Burns for Contagion (previous rank 3)
4. Terrence Malick for The Tree Of Life (previous rank 5)
5. Drake Doremus and Ben York Jones for Like Crazy (previous rank 4)

Alternates:
6. Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris (previous rank 6)
7. Mike Millis for Beginners (previous rank 9)
8. Dee Rees for Pariah (previous rank 7)
9. Qasim Basir for Mooz-lum (previous rank 8)
10. Sean Durkin for Martha Marcy May Marlene (previous rank 11)
11. Will Reiser for Live With It (previous rank 10)
12. Jeff Nichols for Take Shelter (previous rank 12)
13. Diablo Cody for Young Adult (previous rank 17)
14. Lars von Trier for Melancholia (previous rank 18)
15. Jonathan Raymond for Meek’s Cutoff (previous rank 14)
16. Paddy Considine for Tyrannosaur (previous rank 13)
17. Abi Morgan and Steve McQueen for Shame (previous rank 16)
18. Dan Fogelman for Crazy Stupid Love (previous rank 15)
19. Tom Hanks and Nia Vardalos for Larry Crowne (previous rank 20
20. Julia Leigh for Sleeping Beauty (New)
21. Sarah Polley for Take This Waltz (New)
22. Thomas McCarthy and Joe Tiboni for Win Win (New)
23. Cheryl L. West for The Discarded Boys (previous rank 19)
24. JJ. Abrams for Super 8 (New)
25. Carolyn Briggs and Tim Metcalfe for Higher Ground (New)
26. Lem Dobbs for Haywire (New)
27. Larisa Kondracki and Ellis Kirwan for The Whistleblower (New)
28. James Ellroy and Oren Moverman for Rampart (New)
29. James Solomon for The Conspirator (New)
30. Jacob Aaron Estes for The Details (New)
31. Madonna and Alek Keshishian for W.E. (New)
32. Kyle Killen for The Beaver (New)
33. Geoffrey Fletcher for Violet And Daisy (New)
34. Victoria Mahoney for Yelling To The Sky (New)
35. John Orloff for Anonymous (New)
36. Ignacio Martinez de Pison and Fernando Trueba for Chico And Rita (New)
37. Abbas Kiarostami for Certified Copy (New)
38. Rona Munro for Oranges And Sunshine (New)
39. John Logan, Gore Verbinski and James Ward Byrkit for Rango (New)
40. Kevin Smith for Red State (New)
41. Michael Armruster and Shawn Ku for Beautiful Boy (New)
42. Miguel Barros for Blackthorn (New)
43. David Schisgall and Evgenia Peretz for This Must Be The Place (New)
44. Chang-dong Lee for Poetry (New)
45. Liza Johnson for Return (New)
46. David Wain and Ken Marino for Wanderlust (New)
47. Santiago Amigorena and Juan Diego Solanas for Upside Down (New)
48. Sergio G. Sanchez for The Impossible (New)
49. Skip Hollandsworth and Richard Linklater for Bernie (New)
50. Jason Lew for Restless (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Screenplay predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Adapted Screenplay predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 84th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

85th Oscar Original Screenplay Updates (4/20/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in April 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

Lots of new additions and changed rankings in the 85th Oscar Original Screenplay race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Dustin Lance Black for J. Edgar (if not released in 2011) (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Jonathan Jakubowicz for Hands of Stone (previous rank 2)
3. Paul Webb for Selma (previous rank 3)
4. Kar Wai Wong, Xu Haofeng and Jingzhi Zou for The Grandmasters (New)
5. Robby Benson, Tom Ellis and Shawn Powell for Keeper Of The Pinstripes (New)

Alternates:
6. Jeremy Walters for Dali (New)
7. Mark Boal for Triple Frontier (New)
8. Richard Nelson for Hyde Park On Hudson (New)
9. Rian Jordan for Looper (New)
10. Vanessa Taylor for Great Hope Springs (previous rank 4)
11. Andy Wachowski and Lana Wachowski for Cobalt Neural 9 (New)
12. Brenda Chapman and Irene Mecchi for Brave (New)
13. John Jopson for The Absinthe Drinkers (New)
14. Edmond Wong for The Monkey King (New)
15. Rob Reiner and Guy Thomas for The Third Act (New)
16. Damon Lindelof and John Spaihts for Prometheus (New)
17. Jesse Baget and Stefania Moscato for Mississippi Wild (New)
18. Hiro Mauda for Ashita Manana (New)
19. Lawrence Kasdan and Meg Kasdan for Darling Companion (New)
20. Ash Baron-Cohen for The Blind Bastard Club (New)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Original Screenplay predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Adapted Screenplay predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th  

85th Oscar Adapted Screenplay Updates (4/20/11)

EDITORS NOTE: These predictions were made in March 2011 and reflect what my thinking was at that time.  I have updated my predictions since then, but leave these on the blog for a historical record. For the most updated list of predictions, go to the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog.

Lots of new additions and changed rankings in the 85th Oscar Adapted Screenplay race. Here are today’s rankings, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Aleta Chappelle for Macbett (The Caribbean Macbeth) (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. David Magee for Life Of Pi (previous rank 4)
3. Tony Kushner for Lincoln (New)
4. Eric Roth for Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (New)
5. Tristine Skyler for The Bell Jar (New)

Alternates:
6. Paul Weitz for Another Bullshit Night In Suck City (previous rank 2)
7. Christopher Nolan, David S. Goyer and Jonathan Nolan for The Dark Knight Rises (New)
8. Heng Liu for The 13 Women Of Nanjing (New)
9. Roman Polanski and Yasmina Reza for Carnage (New)
10. Baz Luhrmann and Craig Pearce for The Great Gatsby (New)
11. Tom Stoppard for Anna Karenina (New)
12. Hossein Amini and Christopher Morgan for 47 Ronin (previous rank 3)
13. Lucinda Coxon for The Danish Girl (New)
14. Angela Workman for The Zookeeper’s Wife (previous rank 5)
15. Cynthia Mort for Nina (New)
16. Andrew Dominik for Cogan’s Trade (New)
17. Matthew Sand for Brothers In Arms (New)
18. Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Guillermo Del Toro and Peter Jackson for The Hobbit Part I (New)
19. Reno Ursal for A Forgotten Innocence (New)
20. Pedro Almodovar for Mina (New)
21. Steve Mayhew for Connemara Days (New)
22. Ronald Harwood for Quartet (New)
23. Topper Lilien and Amy Albany for Low Down (New)
24. Nick Cave for The Wettest County In The World (New)
25. David Cronenberg for Cosmopolis (New)
26. Tom Tykwer, Andy Wachowski and Lana Wachowski for Cloud Atlas (New)
27. Adrian Lyne for Back Roads (New)
28. Dan Curtis and Seth Grahame-Smith for Dark Shadows (New)
29. Alex Kurtzman and Damon Lindelof for Untitled Star Trek Sequel (New)
30 Damn Yankees (New)

As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
See Adapted Screenplay predictions for other years HERE.
Or check out the Original Screenplay predictions.
See predictions for other categories at the 85th Oscars HERE.
Switch to another year: 84th,  85th,  86th,  87th,  88th,  89th